Comments on: The Shape of a 7-Game Series

By: Romain

Romain — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 13:02:27 +0000

You're right I read your post too fast!
My mistake, sorry

By: Neil Paine

Neil Paine — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 12:28:06 +0000

Hi Romain,

Actually, I'm just looking at the first 6 games of the series (which is all we have to go on for this year's Finals). It is true that the away team won Game 7 of that series after losing the first 6, though.

By: Romain

Romain — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 08:54:50 +0000

I remember this series very well because the Spurs had been blown off at NO in game 1, 2 & 5, and somehow they found a way to win game 7 on the road which is, as you point out, very rare.
Both teams went 56-26 in the regular season, so I guess this might explain why you had it the wrong way.

By: Romain

Romain — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 08:50:01 +0000

Neil,

In 2008 SAS won game 7 against NOH on the road so this would be a WWWWWWL, not a WWWWWWW

By: Bill Reynolds

Bill Reynolds — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 05:18:40 +0000

Interesting. Of the ten previous series with the same shape as this one through 6 games, the road team (i.e., the Celtics tonight) won game 7 twice -- Phoenix in 1976 and the Knicks in 2000. However, it seems to me that analogizing the shape of a 2-3-2 series to that of a 2-2-1-1-1 series is a little questionable.

By: AHL

AHL — Wed, 16 Jun 2010 20:52:01 +0000

Funny, in one of your earlier blog posts, I think you determined that this year's Finals would be highly similar to the Rockets-Knicks series, and look at that...