Comments on: How 2+ Conference Finalists in 3 Seasons Fared 5 Years Later

By: Matt, Colombia

Matt, Colombia — Fri, 13 May 2011 14:06:25 +0000

Why are teams being repeated? Instead of 91 Chicago, 92, 93, etc. shouldn't we just look at it from the last time a team made the conference finals after getting there 2+ times?

By: Greyberger

Greyberger — Fri, 13 May 2011 01:58:29 +0000

in BoP a .700 win% team is expected to decline to .650% in one year... if that is the average win% of our teams above, how does performance in y+1 y+2 etc compare to what you'd expect from the natural shuffling of teams up and down year to year?

By: Ian

Ian — Thu, 12 May 2011 23:45:57 +0000

What I find interesting is that none of the final 4 teams (whoever they turn out to be) were among the final 4 last year. In fact, none have been part of the final 4 since Miami and Dallas in 2006.

By: ElGee

ElGee — Thu, 12 May 2011 20:17:27 +0000

Btw, the only teams who improved the win% in the following 5 years:
84 Bucks
01 Spurs
90 Bulls
90 Suns
82/83/84 Lakers
78 Sixers
93 Bulls
94/96 Jazz

By: Neil Paine

Neil Paine — Thu, 12 May 2011 20:08:34 +0000

Looks like the 90s Jazz, early-2000s Spurs, late 90s Pacers, and late 80s Celtics were the only mini-dynasties as old as the current Celtics to sidestep the bust part of the boom-and-bust cycle. And of those teams, all but the Spurs gravitated toward .500 hell at some point.

By: Ben

Ben — Thu, 12 May 2011 19:58:57 +0000

98 Bulls blowup really was unique...

By: ElGee

ElGee — Thu, 12 May 2011 19:53:15 +0000

By my count that's 87 teams. 46 (53%) stayed above .500 all 5 seasons.

The average team had it's win% drop 10.6% (8.7 wins) in those 5 seasons from Y.

-LG