Comments on: With Or Without You: Kendrick Perkins

By: GCap

GCap — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 18:33:46 +0000

Boston is going to have a hard time keeping Wallace out there for the same amount of time the Lakers will run with Gasol. That's what will hurt them some in my opinion. Pau will play 45 minutes easily tonight. Not to mention Bynum for a good 25 minute run. KG will play big minutes but I don't know if he can move over to center with Pau. Having Perkins out give LA some size and lineup advantages they didn't have before. Boston will have to counter by going small.

By: Jason J

Jason J — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 18:02:39 +0000

Sheed can't stay out of foul trouble and hasn't been making shots. IF Boston can get GREAT teamwide effort, and the regular starters are all on, Sheed's (in)ability to contribute, probably is the deciding factor. Did I say I felt optimistic in my first comment?

By: TRX

TRX — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 17:38:27 +0000

... Why 22 minutes? Is there some significance to 22 minutes exactly? I could point out that number improves to 17-15 (53.13%) if you count games he played 24:30 or less, instead of 22. If Rasheed's back holds up, I would trust him to play good defence on Gasol and give them an option on offence.

By: Hk

Hk — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 17:26:20 +0000

*What I've heard is that

Sorry.
Neil has mentioned the usage-efficiency discussion before but I always go back to Pau Gasol versus Kobe Bryant. Anyway is using a greater amount of possessions always the best thing for a team? Pau is much easier to fit onto a team and has a superior WS/48 rating. I know he is a capable defender. Assuming two players have a similar PER rating (and equal defensively), the one with lower usage rate generally has more Win Shares.

One last thing: http://basketballvalue.com/teamplayers.php?year=2010%20playoffs&mode=summary&sortnumber=94&sortorder=DESC&team=LAL

Wow that's crazy. Pau is in negative figures here? APM is so noisy.

By: Hk

Hk — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 17:20:14 +0000

What I've heard that Perkins had some kind of injury he was playing with in the playoffs. His offensive skills are not at the same level in these playoffs. His two year Adjusted +/- in the playoffs are also poor, that's why I don't really like to pay attention to that stat.

By: Neil Paine

Neil Paine — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 16:21:24 +0000

The Oliver stats do a really good job of capturing offensive ability (provided you look at %Poss in addition to ORtg), but defensively they're just a guess. My personal feeling is that because DRtg basically assumes the player is as good as the team's defense, it underrates Perkins' defensive contribution and vastly overrates Davis' (I don't think anything can get an accurate read on Wallace's D).

By: Hk

Hk — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 16:13:00 +0000

Yes Perkins has a Superior WS/48 in the regular season, but not the playoffs. Very interesting.

By: Bill Reynolds

Bill Reynolds — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 15:36:44 +0000

Interesting, Neil. Yet in the playoffs this year, Davis has an ORtg/DRtg of 110/101, and he has 0.148 win shares per 48 minutes, best on the Celtics. Wallace is at 105/100 and 0.120 WS/48 for the playoffs, while Perkins has 94/100, and Perkins's 0.076 WS/48 is worse than anyone on the team except Michael Finley and Shelden Williams. Why the disconnect between the Oliver stats and your plus-minus findings?

By: Jason J

Jason J — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 15:28:06 +0000

It looks like we are royally boned tonight, but I'm feeling optimistic for some reason. Maybe it's the crack-cocaine talking, but I think Ray Allen is due for a comeback game, and this is what Doc has been saving KG and Pierce for all season.