Comments on: The Most Competitive Playoff Series Ever http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710 NBA & ABA Basketball Statistics & History Mon, 21 Nov 2011 20:56:04 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: Chicken Scratch http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14971 Sat, 06 Mar 2010 22:16:51 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14971 Well why not do the victory probability trick for the playoff series that have taken place since such data has been available? I'd be curious to see which are the most competitive playoff series of the last, say, 10 yrs using that system!

]]> By: izzy http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14947 Fri, 05 Mar 2010 11:55:08 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14947 I agree--Overtimes should be a 0

]]> By: Ricardo http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14895 Wed, 03 Mar 2010 00:22:58 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14895 "Perhaps you could increase the weight for each game as the series progresses, meaning that early blowouts aren't as costly as late blowouts."

FTW.

]]> By: Miguel http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14862 Tue, 02 Mar 2010 05:11:39 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14862 Also whats more competitive a game ending by a point in regulation or a game ending by 5 points in 3 overtime??

I think overtimes have to be considerer in the equation somehow

]]> By: Walter http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14856 Tue, 02 Mar 2010 00:12:50 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14856 As Downpuppy said... give an OT game a score of 0. I would argue that a 4 point overtime win is more competitive than a 3 point regulation win. Your current method (even the per minute version) would have the 3 point win in regulation as "more competitive".

]]> By: Ian http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14855 Mon, 01 Mar 2010 23:53:57 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14855 Perhaps you could increase the weight for each game as the series progresses, meaning that early blowouts aren't as costly as late blowouts.

]]> By: Downpuppy http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14854 Mon, 01 Mar 2010 23:25:41 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14854 I'd just count an OT game as a 0 difference.

]]> By: Byron http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14853 Mon, 01 Mar 2010 23:02:45 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14853 It's pretty rough, but what about just subtracting the number of OT periods from the final margin of each game? I'm no expert, but even the negative numbers that could result don't bother me. If they bother smarter people, you could perhaps subtract a point or two times the number of OTs in that game divided by the most OTs we are dealing with in this sample, to scale the bonus.

]]> By: Neil Paine http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14851 Mon, 01 Mar 2010 22:11:53 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14851 Here's the list if you go by avg. squared MOV per 48 minutes:

Rank Year Winner Loser Games MOV^2/48
1 2000 NYK MIA 7 22.2
2 1955 SYR FTW 7 22.6
3 1980 SEA MIL 7 25.5
4 1997 HOU SEA 7 32.0
5 1989 CHI CLE 5 33.7
6 1984 NYK DET 5 35.1
7 1994 HOU NYK 7 42.7
8 2002 LAL SAC 7 43.4
9 1987 MIL PHI 5 43.9
10 1976 CLE WSB 7 43.9
11 1984 DAL SEA 5 46.0
12 1989 MIL ATL 5 47.0
13 1969 BOS LAL 7 47.3
14 1994 UTA DEN 7 49.1
15 1987 BOS MIL 7 49.2
16 1984 PHO POR 5 49.4
17 1961 STL LAL 7 51.2
18 1988 ATL MIL 5 51.6
19 1991 BOS IND 5 52.0
20 1974 CHI DET 7 52.6
21 1988 CHI CLE 5 56.4
22 1996 ATL IND 5 63.7
23 1981 BOS PHI 7 67.9
24 1998 CHI IND 7 67.9
25 1981 HOU SAS 7 69.1
26 1994 NYK CHI 7 69.4
27 1993 PHO LAL 5 69.6
28 2001 MIL CHH 7 69.7
29 1979 SEA PHO 7 70.7
30 2009 BOS CHI 7 73.5
31 2004 MIN SAC 7 76.0
32 1965 BOS PHI 7 76.3
33 1963 CIN SYR 5 81.1
34 1986 MIL PHI 7 81.6
35 2006 DAL SAS 7 83.8
36 1953 MNL FTW 5 84.6
37 1977 LAL GSW 7 85.4
38 1952 MNL NYK 7 87.1
39 1962 BOS LAL 7 87.7
40 1954 MNL SYR 7 88.0
41 1991 POR SEA 5 88.4
42 1957 BOS STL 7 89.8
43 1997 MIA NYK 7 93.3
44 1968 BOS PHI 7 93.6
45 1987 GSW UTA 5 94.2
46 1966 BOS CIN 5 94.2
47 1995 IND NYK 7 94.3
48 1977 PHI BOS 7 96.6
49 1988 BOS ATL 7 97.0
50 2007 UTA HOU 7 98.0
51 1971 BAL PHI 7 101.4
52 1966 BOS LAL 7 101.5
53 1975 GSW CHI 7 101.6
54 2001 PHI MIL 7 103.1
55 2000 IND MIL 5 103.4
56 1993 SEA UTA 5 109.0
57 1979 WSB ATL 7 110.4
58 1981 KCK PHO 7 111.0
59 1984 UTA DEN 5 111.4
60 1984 NJN PHI 5 111.6
61 1979 SAS PHI 7 112.1
62 1974 BOS MIL 7 112.3
63 1974 NYK CAP 7 112.6
64 1994 NYK IND 7 113.1
65 2000 UTA SEA 5 113.6
66 2001 TOR NYK 5 115.6
67 1988 DET WSB 5 116.8
68 1960 STL MNL 7 119.5
69 1997 ATL DET 5 119.6
70 1973 LAL CHI 7 121.6
71 1962 PHW SYR 5 122.6
72 1964 STL LAL 5 126.2
73 1970 NYK LAL 7 127.9
74 2002 DET TOR 5 130.8
75 1951 NYK SYR 5 132.4
76 1995 HOU UTA 5 134.8
77 1998 NYK MIA 5 135.0
78 1994 ATL MIA 5 136.4
79 1992 UTA LAC 5 138.0
80 1986 PHI WSB 5 140.2
81 1975 WSB BUF 7 141.6
82 1970 NYK BAL 7 145.0
83 1993 CLE NJN 5 146.0
84 1956 FTW STL 5 147.2
85 1976 PHO GSW 7 149.1
86 1966 LAL STL 7 149.1
87 2008 BOS CLE 7 152.6
88 1981 PHI MIL 7 153.4
89 1993 PHO SEA 7 154.7
90 2005 DET MIA 7 157.6
91 1951 ROC NYK 7 159.0
92 1990 DET CHI 7 159.6
93 1990 POR SAS 7 159.7
94 1963 BOS CIN 7 161.9
95 2004 MIA NOH 7 168.1
96 1993 HOU LAC 5 168.4
97 2006 DET CLE 7 168.9
98 1979 WSB SAS 7 169.3
99 1988 LAL DET 7 170.3
100 2009 ORL BOS 7 176.0

That 21-point blowout in Game 3 really get punished in BOS-CHI.

]]> By: Neil Paine http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710&cpage=1#comment-14850 Mon, 01 Mar 2010 21:33:54 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=4710#comment-14850 Neither did John Starks.

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