Comments on: ’09 Playoff Preview: West #4 – Portland Trail Blazers http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157 NBA & ABA Basketball Statistics & History Mon, 21 Nov 2011 20:56:04 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: Justin Hakanson http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157&cpage=1#comment-9742 Sat, 18 Apr 2009 03:11:24 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157#comment-9742 Oh, sorry about the messed up link. Looks like TV got what I was thinking of...

]]> By: Justin Hakanson http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157&cpage=1#comment-9741 Sat, 18 Apr 2009 01:55:06 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157#comment-9741 Of course, as a Blazer fan I want to discount the value of playoff experience, so I think I imagined more "evidence" than there was. I went back to find why I thought there was evidence against it and it came from Kevin Pelton.

He concludes with this: "There are reasons to pick against Portland in the postseason ..., but a roster untested in the playoffs should not be one of them."

I guess my "more statistical evidence" claim means one article by a numbers guy. :)

But, I would love to see you guys do a study on how much of a factor playoff experience matters! I love the work you guys are doing here. Keep it up!

]]> By: TV http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157&cpage=1#comment-9739 Sat, 18 Apr 2009 00:36:21 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157#comment-9739 Pelton actually had a recent article arguing that the Blazers' lack of postseason experience won't be a problem:

http://www.basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=635

]]> By: Neil Paine http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157&cpage=1#comment-9738 Fri, 17 Apr 2009 21:35:37 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157#comment-9738 I'm not aware of any studies on the matter, period, whether supporting the experience hypothesis or not. But I do recall Kevin Pelton's finding that age is positively correlated with general team success, and you have to think that experience plays at least some role in championship teams -- look at the list of recent champs, and you've got some serious veteran teams. I do think it's an overrated factor when put alongside offensive and defensive efficiency, though.

Either way, it's definitely a study we'll have to do here in the coming week(s), because we have all the data needed. It's just a matter of running the correlations at this point. So thanks for the idea, and we'll let you know what the numbers say.

]]> By: Justin Hakanson http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157&cpage=1#comment-9737 Fri, 17 Apr 2009 20:50:32 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2157#comment-9737 As a stats guy I wonder why you list experience as a factor in the playoffs when there is more statistical evidence that experience actually ISN'T a factor in the playoffs? At least, I am not aware of any studies that show experience is a factor in determining playoff success.

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