Comments on: Retrodicting 2008-09 with SPM http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2264 NBA & ABA Basketball Statistics & History Mon, 21 Nov 2011 20:56:04 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: Neil Paine http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2264&cpage=1#comment-9853 Tue, 28 Apr 2009 21:26:57 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2264#comment-9853 LOL, good catch. That's what happens when you're working with one database that calls him D.J. Mbenga and another that calls him Didier Ilunga-Mbenga...

]]> By: biggles http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2264&cpage=1#comment-9850 Tue, 28 Apr 2009 19:31:47 +0000 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=2264#comment-9850 I think you switched some of Derek Fisher's numbers with D.J. Mbenga's. Fisher wouldn't have been happy playing only 181 minutes this year, but probably wouldn't mind being 28 again.

Doing a quick and dirty smoothing of the residuals, it seems that 30-32 year olds are doing quite a bit worse than their projections. Not sure how much of this is just because of a few high profile relative disappointments (Dirk, Billups, Marion).

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