Comments on: BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (December 3, 2010)

By: Sean

Sean — Thu, 09 Dec 2010 17:44:58 +0000

Another quality win for the Heat, this time on the road VS the Jazz. Wade maybe is getting healthier and LeBron is cutting down on the TOs.

By: Leroy Smith

Leroy Smith — Mon, 06 Dec 2010 18:23:13 +0000

Dsong, the wild shifts will stop once there is a big sample of games. So far, a 30 point game has an effect, but in April this will not be the case. A single 30 point win will not even move the a team unless they were really close to another.

By: huevonkiller

huevonkiller — Sun, 05 Dec 2010 19:19:40 +0000

128 rating also helps.

James and Wade just need to stay healthy. Wade has little nagging injuries on his hand/wrist, don't go crazy with the minutes.

By: Sean

Sean — Sun, 05 Dec 2010 15:28:40 +0000

Good win for Miami against Atlanta. LeBron with just 2 turnovers (and 2 total turnovers the last 2 games)---that will help the cause.

By: Greyberger

Greyberger — Sat, 04 Dec 2010 17:56:27 +0000

Nobody's really making the connection, but the Spurs and Heat are similar teams on paper, so far... The main difference is the pace and that the Heat are a better field defense team while the Spurs are better at offensive rebounding and not fouling. They're both juggernauts on offense, scoring from the line without turnovers. Even though the Heat are on the road in nine of fourteen December games (with three road Backtobacks), it's a soft month for both teams.

By: Anon x 2

Anon x 2 — Sat, 04 Dec 2010 07:09:54 +0000

Dsong - pretty sure Bynum's return will solve the issues.

By: dsong

dsong — Sat, 04 Dec 2010 06:52:33 +0000

I think the only thing I can conclude is that SPM might as well be called SPAM. Teams go up or down 5 spots based on a single 30-point blowout or defeat.

Just eyeballing these rankings, I'd say that the standard error of these numbers would be about 4 points.

By: dsong

dsong — Sat, 04 Dec 2010 06:48:44 +0000

Great teams win blowouts and win close games.

Lakers are awful lately (today's result notwithstanding). Thank you for dropping the Lakers way down in the rankings, where they belong.

The class of the NBA so far has been San Antonio, Dallas, Boston, and Orlando. All of them figure to be legit contenders in the playoffs. The Lakers have some work to do before they can re-establish their position as one of the NBA's elite.

Thankfully it's a long season and I hope Lakers can get it together before the playoffs come around.

By: Neil Paine

Neil Paine — Sat, 04 Dec 2010 01:30:19 +0000

You know, I actually set these up with Excel's solver, so no regression statistics to report (it basically solves it through brute-force iteration). It's so easy just to throw things together in a spreadsheet and use the solver.

By: Ben

Ben — Fri, 03 Dec 2010 20:13:50 +0000

I really like these. Any chance at seeing the standard errors? :)