Comments on: 2010 Western Conference Finals Preview: L.A. Lakers vs. Phoenix

By: DSMok1

DSMok1 — Fri, 14 May 2010 20:51:29 +0000

EDIT: I didn't realize Lopez would play. I don't know whether that helps them or not; SPM doesn't like him as much as the alternatives. In terms of matchups, I'm sure it does help.

LAL vs PHO
4 to 0 8.0%
4 to 1 19.6%
4 to 2 15.1%
4 to 3 20.9%
3 to 4 10.6%
2 to 4 15.1%
1 to 4 6.8%
0 to 4 3.7%

Margin
8.12 6.66
LAL PHO
63.7% 36.3%

By: DSMok1

DSMok1 — Fri, 14 May 2010 20:04:00 +0000

As usual, here are my projections, based on the Statistical Plus/Minus and minutes played estimates for each team. I have updated the SPM through the first 2 rounds of the playoffs.

LAL vs PHO
4 to 0 7.5%
4 to 1 18.8%
4 to 2 14.7%
4 to 3 20.8%
3 to 4 11.0%
2 to 4 15.8%
1 to 4 7.3%
0 to 4 4.1%

Margin
8.12 6.96
LAL PHO
61.7% 38.3%

The Lakers in 7 is the projection here.

By: Neil Paine

Neil Paine — Wed, 12 May 2010 19:07:47 +0000

I got it here:

http://thelakersnation.com/blog/2010/05/09/western-conference-finals-schedule-released/

But I think the 17th date for Game 1 is correct, so I'll get that fixed.

By: AHL

AHL — Wed, 12 May 2010 18:57:38 +0000

Where did you get that series schedule?

Everywhere only reports Monday 5/17 as Game 1 and Wed 5/19 as Game 2 with the rest TBD.

By: Ricardo

Ricardo — Wed, 12 May 2010 16:20:58 +0000

I wanted the picks to be right in the Spurs-Suns series; I hope they're wrong this time, too.