Comments on: Dallas Mavericks & Miami Heat Championship Probability Graphs Through the Playoffs

By: huevonkiller

huevonkiller — Mon, 13 Jun 2011 17:19:14 +0000

Wade has a higher turnover rate, stop. LeBron gets to the rim because he's the most athletic player in the history of the league.

By: sean

sean — Mon, 13 Jun 2011 00:07:48 +0000

If they allow LeBron 4 ridiculous travels (horsey gallops, hopping, 5 step drives in the lane, etc.) AND LeBron posts up to start AND finish the game------Miami wins by double digits. Their defense has that extra day of rest and I expect them to be better as well.

By: BSK

BSK — Sun, 12 Jun 2011 21:38:02 +0000

Thanks, that does help. Do the graphs account for in game changes or just probability at the end of games? My hunch is that it is the latter, as the former would show a lot more variation. And if my hunch is right, it is probably not fully accurate to have the lines smoothed, right?

By: Neil Paine

Neil Paine — Sun, 12 Jun 2011 20:55:47 +0000

#2 - The leverage graph underneath is supposed to help with that a little, because each bar is a game, and it maps those onto the same scale as the first graph.

By: BSK

BSK — Sun, 12 Jun 2011 20:37:45 +0000

Can the X axis be changed to something other than the date? Perhaps series and game #?

By: Siggas Cation

Siggas Cation — Sun, 12 Jun 2011 19:32:27 +0000

this game 6 has such a huge leverage lebron has to come up big and have a double digit impact or else the heat are going to lose.