2010 Playoff Series Preview: Orlando vs. Charlotte
Posted by Neil Paine on April 16, 2010
2010 Playoffs Home ▪ 2010 Playoff Previews
2. Orlando Magic
Coach: Stan Van Gundy
SRS: 7.12 (1st of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 92.0 (18th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 111.4 (4th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 103.3 (3rd of 30)
Four Factors
| Team | eFG% | Rank | TOV% | Rank | ORB% | Rank | FT/FGA | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic | 0.536 | 2 | 0.136 | 17 | 0.246 | 25 | 0.246 | 7 |
| Orlando Magic - Opp | 0.477 | 1 | 0.122 | 26 | 0.226 | 1 | 0.205 | 3 |
Roster (w/ 2010 Regular-Season Stats)
| Pos | Player | Age | Ht | Wt | G | MPG | ORtg | %Pos | DRtg | SPM | T/Min | %Pass | %Shoot | %Fouled | %TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C/PF | Dwight Howard | 24 | 83 | 240 | 82 | 34.7 | 113.4 | 24.6 | 95.3 | 7.21 | 0.94 | 32 | 32 | 26 | 10 |
| SF/PF | Rashard Lewis | 30 | 82 | 215 | 72 | 32.9 | 110.7 | 18.3 | 104.1 | 1.74 | 0.72 | 37 | 48 | 9 | 6 |
| SG/SF | Vince Carter | 33 | 79 | 215 | 75 | 30.8 | 112.1 | 24.2 | 105.3 | 2.62 | 1.21 | 50 | 37 | 9 | 4 |
| SF/PF | Matt Barnes | 29 | 79 | 235 | 81 | 25.9 | 111.2 | 16.4 | 102.8 | 1.34 | 0.76 | 50 | 35 | 8 | 7 |
| PG | Jameer Nelson | 27 | 72 | 190 | 65 | 28.6 | 109.8 | 23.3 | 106.1 | 0.22 | 1.64 | 69 | 23 | 3 | 5 |
| SG | J.J. Redick | 25 | 76 | 190 | 82 | 22.0 | 123.2 | 17.7 | 107.6 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 54 | 32 | 11 | 4 |
| PG | Jason Williams | 34 | 73 | 190 | 82 | 20.8 | 114.6 | 15.6 | 106.2 | -0.45 | 1.37 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 4 |
| SG/SF | Mickael Pietrus | 27 | 78 | 215 | 75 | 22.5 | 105.8 | 16.8 | 104.0 | -0.36 | 0.59 | 29 | 55 | 9 | 7 |
| PF | Marcin Gortat | 25 | 84 | 240 | 81 | 13.4 | 112.7 | 13.6 | 99.3 | -1.73 | 0.41 | 23 | 52 | 14 | 11 |
| PF | Ryan Anderson | 21 | 82 | 240 | 63 | 14.4 | 111.8 | 23.5 | 103.3 | 1.97 | 0.81 | 30 | 53 | 9 | 8 |
| PF | Brandon Bass | 24 | 80 | 240 | 50 | 13.0 | 111.7 | 20.4 | 103.6 | -2.65 | 0.67 | 26 | 54 | 12 | 7 |
| PG/SG | Anthony Johnson | 35 | 75 | 190 | 31 | 13.1 | 109.8 | 17.8 | 105.6 | -1.25 | 1.31 | 71 | 21 | 3 | 5 |
Best Pure Shooter: J.J. Redick
Best 3 Pt. Shooters: J.J. Redick, Rashard Lewis
Best Scorer: Vince Carter
Best Rebounder: Dwight Howard
Best Passer: Jameer Nelson
Best Defender: Dwight Howard
Who to Foul: Dwight Howard (59.2%)
7. Charlotte Bobcats
Coach: Larry Brown
SRS: 1.30 (15th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 90.4 (26th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 104.4 (24th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 102.8 (1st of 30)
Four Factors
| Team | eFG% | Rank | TOV% | Rank | ORB% | Rank | FT/FGA | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Bobcats | 0.490 | 24 | 0.151 | 30 | 0.265 | 17 | 0.260 | 3 |
| Charlotte Bobcats - Opp | 0.491 | 11 | 0.147 | 3 | 0.258 | 10 | 0.194 | 1 |
Roster (w/ 2010 Regular-Season Stats)
| Pos | Player | Age | Ht | Wt | G | MPG | ORtg | %Pos | DRtg | SPM | T/Min | %Pass | %Shoot | %Fouled | %TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | Gerald Wallace | 27 | 79 | 215 | 76 | 41.0 | 113.2 | 19.9 | 99.8 | 4.11 | 0.83 | 38 | 37 | 18 | 7 |
| PF/SF/C | Boris Diaw | 27 | 80 | 215 | 82 | 35.4 | 107.1 | 17.0 | 105.3 | 0.35 | 1.05 | 64 | 26 | 4 | 6 |
| SF | Stephen Jackson | 31 | 80 | 218 | 72 | 39.3 | 99.9 | 26.7 | 104.1 | 1.64 | 1.23 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 7 |
| PG | Raymond Felton | 25 | 73 | 198 | 80 | 33.0 | 106.7 | 20.1 | 103.5 | 1.51 | 1.47 | 69 | 22 | 4 | 4 |
| C/PF | Theo Ratliff | 36 | 82 | 225 | 28 | 22.3 | 99.8 | 13.0 | 102.2 | -1.52 | 0.48 | 39 | 40 | 11 | 11 |
| PG | D.J. Augustin | 22 | 72 | 180 | 80 | 18.4 | 106.0 | 18.0 | 106.6 | -1.46 | 1.22 | 65 | 25 | 6 | 4 |
| C | Tyson Chandler | 27 | 85 | 235 | 51 | 22.8 | 107.3 | 15.0 | 101.7 | -2.58 | 0.45 | 19 | 38 | 26 | 18 |
| SF/SG | Stephen Graham | 27 | 78 | 215 | 70 | 11.5 | 103.7 | 16.6 | 103.9 | -3.75 | 0.59 | 29 | 52 | 12 | 8 |
| PF | Tyrus Thomas | 23 | 81 | 215 | 25 | 21.7 | 97.3 | 21.8 | 96.5 | 2.54 | 0.82 | 33 | 43 | 15 | 9 |
| SG/PG/SF | Larry Hughes | 31 | 77 | 184 | 14 | 21.1 | 96.5 | 21.1 | 108.4 | -1.08 | 1.22 | 59 | 28 | 7 | 5 |
| C/PF | Nazr Mohammed | 32 | 82 | 221 | 58 | 17.0 | 113.4 | 21.1 | 101.3 | -0.82 | 0.69 | 25 | 52 | 16 | 8 |
| F | Derrick Brown | 22 | 79 | 225 | 57 | 9.4 | 107.5 | 16.9 | 103.6 | -1.64 | 0.65 | 33 | 44 | 18 | 6 |
| G | Gerald Henderson | 22 | 77 | 215 | 43 | 8.3 | 95.9 | 17.6 | 103.8 | -4.10 | 0.67 | 33 | 45 | 17 | 6 |
| C | DeSagana Diop | 28 | 84 | 300 | 27 | 9.7 | 94.3 | 9.2 | 101.5 | -3.11 | 0.30 | 38 | 37 | 10 | 15 |
Best Pure Shooter: D.J. Augustin
Best 3 Pt. Shooter: D.J. Augustin
Best Scorer: Stephen Jackson
Best Rebounder: Nazr Mohammed
Best Passer: Raymond Felton
Best Defender: Gerald Wallace
Who to Foul: Stephen Graham (64.6%)
Season Series
| Magic win series 4-0 |
|---|
| Game 1 @ ORL - Magic 98, Bobcats 89 |
| Game 2 @ ORL - Magic 92, Bobcats 77 |
| Game 3 @ CHA - Magic 90, Bobcats 86 |
| Game 4 @ CHA - Magic 99, Bobcats 90 |
| Picks | Most Likely | Second Opinion |
|---|---|---|
| SPM "True Skill" Projection says: | Magic in 5 | Magic in 4 |
| I say: | Magic in 5 | Magic in 4 |
April 16th, 2010 at 4:21 pm
Neil, you look like a fuckin rapist in your "TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown" picture!
April 16th, 2010 at 4:30 pm
LOL, yeah, that was last year -- I found out I needed a picture late the night before the picks were due, so I got somebody to snap one really quick and just sent it in. I probably should have asked Henry to change it, but maybe it will scare the other competitors into submission...
April 16th, 2010 at 5:33 pm
Magic easy. I think they'll sweep. The hidden story this year is how great the Magic have played the last two months. They finished the season 23-5, with an + 11.8 point differential. The two best teams, by far, are in the East this year.
April 16th, 2010 at 5:40 pm
True. Cleveland held the SRS lead for almost the entire season, but Orlando caught them this week because the Cavs sat LeBron.
April 17th, 2010 at 3:55 am
I know the Magic will probably win this series without too much difficulty but I'm still excited for the matchup. The Bobcats will present a nice challenge.