BBR Rankings: 2010-02-12
Posted by Neil Paine on February 12, 2010
Rising: Heat (L-@CHI, W-HOU, W-@ATL); Sixers (W-@NOH, W-@HOU, W-MIN, L-@TOR)
Falling: Grizzlies (L-HOU, L-@MIN, L-ATL); Knicks (L-MIL, L-@CLE, L-SAC)
(Want to know how the BBR Rankings are calculated? Read this first... "MLE" = Maximum Likelihood Estimate.)
Rank | Prev | Team | W | L | WPct | SOSRk | Week | MLE | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 43 | 11 | 0.796 | 29 | 3-0 | 1.50497 | 1 |
2 | 2 | Los Angeles Lakers | 41 | 13 | 0.759 | 17 | 3-1 | 1.32898 | 2 |
3 | 3 | Orlando Magic | 36 | 18 | 0.667 | 23 | 3-2 | 0.84765 | 3 |
4 | 5 | Atlanta Hawks | 33 | 18 | 0.647 | 11 | 2-1 | 0.77915 | 4 |
5 | 7 | Denver Nuggets | 35 | 18 | 0.660 | 22 | 2-2 | 0.74736 | 5 |
6 | 4 | Dallas Mavericks | 32 | 20 | 0.615 | 8 | 1-2 | 0.65292 | 7 |
7 | 8 | Utah Jazz | 32 | 19 | 0.627 | 3 | 2-1 | 0.69989 | 6 |
8 | 6 | Boston Celtics | 32 | 18 | 0.640 | 28 | 1-2 | 0.62999 | 8 |
9 | 10 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 30 | 21 | 0.588 | 6 | 2-0 | 0.53360 | 9 |
10 | 9 | Phoenix Suns | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 15 | 1-1 | 0.51889 | 10 |
11 | 12 | Portland Trail Blazers | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 5 | 1-2 | 0.38412 | 12 |
12 | 14 | San Antonio Spurs | 30 | 21 | 0.588 | 16 | 2-1 | 0.40963 | 11 |
13 | 11 | Houston Rockets | 27 | 24 | 0.529 | 1 | 1-2 | 0.31022 | 13 |
14 | 15 | Toronto Raptors | 29 | 23 | 0.558 | 21 | 2-0 | 0.30613 | 14 |
15 | 17 | New Orleans Hornets | 28 | 25 | 0.528 | 24 | 2-2 | 0.14433 | 15 |
16 | 19 | Miami Heat | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 2 | 2-1 | 0.12265 | 17 |
17 | 16 | Charlotte Bobcats | 26 | 25 | 0.510 | 12 | 2-1 | 0.07691 | 18 |
18 | 13 | Memphis Grizzlies | 26 | 25 | 0.510 | 9 | 0-3 | 0.13540 | 16 |
19 | 18 | Chicago Bulls | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 7 | 2-2 | 0.04662 | 19 |
20 | 20 | Milwaukee Bucks | 24 | 27 | 0.471 | 26 | 3-1 | -0.18369 | 20 |
21 | 21 | Los Angeles Clippers | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 18 | 0-3 | -0.40800 | 21 |
22 | 22 | Sacramento Kings | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 4 | 2-2 | -0.62709 | 22 |
23 | 25 | Philadelphia 76ers | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 30 | 3-1 | -0.63925 | 23 |
24 | 24 | Detroit Pistons | 18 | 33 | 0.353 | 20 | 2-2 | -0.73956 | 24 |
25 | 27 | Washington Wizards | 17 | 33 | 0.340 | 19 | 1-1 | -0.80346 | 26 |
26 | 23 | New York Knicks | 19 | 32 | 0.373 | 27 | 0-3 | -0.77896 | 25 |
27 | 26 | Indiana Pacers | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 25 | 1-2 | -0.83791 | 27 |
28 | 28 | Golden State Warriors | 14 | 37 | 0.275 | 13 | 1-2 | -1.07744 | 28 |
29 | 29 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 13 | 40 | 0.245 | 14 | 2-2 | -1.29645 | 29 |
30 | 30 | New Jersey Nets | 4 | 48 | 0.077 | 10 | 0-4 | -2.78761 | 30 |
Home-Court Advantage | 0.52962 |
February 12th, 2010 at 12:42 pm
Looks good!
Again, the pure adjusted efficiency margin, calculated with the SRS system off of the 4-factor box scores on this site:
Team Margin
CLE 8.13
UTA 7.09
LAL 7.03
ATL 6.73
DEN 5.87
SAS 5.24
OKC 4.99
ORL 3.94
POR 2.83
BOS 2.82
PHO 2.53
TOR 0.74
MIA 0.43
HOU 0.34
DAL 0.24
MEM -0.63
MIL -0.76
NOH -1.06
CHI -1.76
CHA -2.06
LAC -2.90
SAC -3.67
GSW -3.96
PHI -4.36
NYK -4.37
WAS -4.46
DET -4.98
IND -5.76
MIN -6.36
NJN -11.83
February 12th, 2010 at 1:25 pm
Jersey is so brutal this year, MLE has to have 19 teams being above average simply to offset the incredible suckitude of the Nets and still keep the league average equal to zero. By standard SRS, only 3 teams in NBA history have been as good as NJ has been bad: the 1971 Bucks, the 1996 Bulls, and the 1972 Lakers. In 2010, we've all been witnesses... to one of the worst basketball teams of all time, that is.
February 12th, 2010 at 2:10 pm
Any idea when an NBA team last played in front of less than 1500 fans? The combination of snow, Nets, and Bucks apparently kept all but the most bored denizens of Weehawken at home.
February 12th, 2010 at 11:56 pm
what's the record for fewest wins? is it 9 by Philly?
February 13th, 2010 at 12:57 pm
Yes:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/PHI/1973.html
The Nets are on pace to shatter that record; their .077 WPct has them projected to win 6 or 7 games this year. Which is something I didn't think was possible in the salary-cap era.