Team Similarity Scores, Again
Posted by Neil Paine on March 10, 2010
This is another stab at something I've worked on for years -- the idea is to take the performance for each team in the Four Factors, and find teams with similar profiles in the past to determine how teams of that ilk eventually do in the playoffs. Here's the methodology:
- Calculate the Four Factors for each team on offense and defense (technically, I guess that would make it Eight Factors, but whatever).
- Calculate the Z-score for each team's factors by subtracting the league average and dividing by the league's standard deviation.
- Compute the difference between the two teams' z-scores and square it... Do this for all 8 factors.
- Add the squared differences together, weighted by the following: Offensive & defensive eFG% --> 0.2 each; offensive & defensive TOV% --> 0.125 each; offensive & defensive ORB% --> 0.1 each; offensive & defensive FT rate --> 0.075 each.
The result is how similar the two teams are in terms of not only how their factors match up, but also by placing more weight on the factors that correlate most to team performance. Here are the results for the 2010 teams so far:
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2010 Atlanta Hawks | 40 | 23 | 0.635 | |||
1 | 1998 Minnesota Timberwolves | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1998 Washington Wizards | 42 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2006 Detroit Pistons | 64 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1986 Houston Rockets | 51 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
5 | 1986 Detroit Pistons | 46 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2010 Dallas Mavericks | 44 | 21 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
7 | 2001 Toronto Raptors | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 2005 Sacramento Kings | 50 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1984 Dallas Mavericks | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2010 Portland Trail Blazers | 38 | 28 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Total | 470 | 317 | 0.597 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Boston Celtics | 40 | 22 | 0.645 | |||
1 | 1996 Seattle Supersonics | 64 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
2 | 1977 Phoenix Suns | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1997 Miami Heat | 61 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1998 Cleveland Cavaliers | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1981 Philadelphia 76ers | 62 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2005 Memphis Grizzlies | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2008 Boston Celtics | 66 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
8 | 2002 Detroit Pistons | 50 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1988 Utah Jazz | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2000 Phoenix Suns | 53 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 529 | 291 | 0.645 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Charlotte Bobcats | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | |||
1 | 2009 Charlotte Bobcats | 35 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1974 Detroit Pistons | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1990 Los Angeles Clippers | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1990 San Antonio Spurs | 56 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1995 Indiana Pacers | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1989 Houston Rockets | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2004 Philadelphia 76ers | 33 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1998 Cleveland Cavaliers | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1984 Philadelphia 76ers | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1981 Phoenix Suns | 57 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 459 | 361 | 0.560 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Chicago Bulls | 31 | 32 | 0.492 | |||
1 | 1981 Seattle Supersonics | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1978 New Orleans Jazz | 39 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1992 Detroit Pistons | 48 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2001 Detroit Pistons | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1985 Cleveland Cavaliers | 36 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1977 New Orleans Jazz | 35 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2006 Houston Rockets | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1988 Houston Rockets | 46 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1991 Washington Bullets | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1995 New Jersey Nets | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 364 | 456 | 0.444 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Cleveland Cavaliers | 50 | 15 | 0.769 | |||
1 | 2010 Orlando Magic | 45 | 20 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
2 | 2005 Miami Heat | 59 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2006 Miami Heat | 52 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | 2008 Orlando Magic | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1999 Miami Heat | 33 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2009 Orlando Magic | 59 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
7 | 1991 Boston Celtics | 56 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 2000 Portland Trail Blazers | 59 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1990 Utah Jazz | 55 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2000 Miami Heat | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 522 | 249 | 0.677 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Dallas Mavericks | 44 | 21 | 0.677 | |||
1 | 2009 Atlanta Hawks | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1994 Cleveland Cavaliers | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2009 New Orleans Hornets | 49 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1998 Minnesota Timberwolves | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1984 Dallas Mavericks | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1998 Washington Wizards | 42 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2001 Sacramento Kings | 55 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1988 Milwaukee Bucks | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1990 Dallas Mavericks | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2004 Los Angeles Lakers | 56 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Total | 473 | 347 | 0.577 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Denver Nuggets | 42 | 21 | 0.667 | |||
1 | 2009 Denver Nuggets | 54 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1987 Portland Trail Blazers | 49 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1995 Seattle Supersonics | 57 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1996 Indiana Pacers | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1993 Utah Jazz | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2009 Utah Jazz | 48 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2008 Denver Nuggets | 50 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 2005 Boston Celtics | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1991 Golden State Warriors | 44 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2005 Dallas Mavericks | 58 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 504 | 316 | 0.615 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Detroit Pistons | 22 | 41 | 0.349 | |||
1 | 2000 Golden State Warriors | 19 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2005 Charlotte Bobcats | 18 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2008 Chicago Bulls | 33 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2002 Denver Nuggets | 27 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1990 Minnesota Timberwolves | 22 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1997 Toronto Raptors | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1999 Toronto Raptors | 23 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 2005 Cleveland Cavaliers | 42 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1975 Atlanta Hawks | 31 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1990 New Jersey Nets | 17 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 262 | 526 | 0.332 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Golden State Warriors | 17 | 46 | 0.270 | |||
1 | 1993 Milwaukee Bucks | 28 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1991 Charlotte Hornets | 26 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1991 Golden State Warriors | 44 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2007 Golden State Warriors | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2004 Boston Celtics | 36 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1982 Kansas City Kings | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1991 Milwaukee Bucks | 48 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1987 New York Knickerbockers | 24 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1980 New York Knickerbockers | 39 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1976 Seattle Supersonics | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 360 | 460 | 0.439 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Houston Rockets | 32 | 31 | 0.508 | |||
1 | 2004 New Orleans Hornets | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1975 Philadelphia 76ers | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1992 Atlanta Hawks | 38 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1983 Detroit Pistons | 37 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1995 Miami Heat | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2006 Golden State Warriors | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1990 Cleveland Cavaliers | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1980 Portland Trail Blazers | 38 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2006 Los Angeles Lakers | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1983 Portland Trail Blazers | 46 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 387 | 433 | 0.472 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Indiana Pacers | 21 | 43 | 0.328 | |||
1 | 1991 Sacramento Kings | 25 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2002 New York Knickerbockers | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1980 New Jersey Nets | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1997 Minnesota Timberwolves | 40 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2004 Toronto Raptors | 33 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1986 Utah Jazz | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2000 Cleveland Cavaliers | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1986 Cleveland Cavaliers | 29 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2005 Indiana Pacers | 44 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2008 Indiana Pacers | 36 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 345 | 475 | 0.421 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Los Angeles Clippers | 25 | 39 | 0.391 | |||
1 | 2004 Atlanta Hawks | 28 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1986 Sacramento Kings | 37 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2005 Orlando Magic | 36 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2001 Atlanta Hawks | 25 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2010 Sacramento Kings | 21 | 43 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
6 | 2001 Cleveland Cavaliers | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1991 Orlando Magic | 31 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1997 Sacramento Kings | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2007 Minnesota Timberwolves | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2007 Portland Trail Blazers | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 306 | 496 | 0.382 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Los Angeles Lakers | 47 | 18 | 0.723 | |||
1 | 1997 Los Angeles Lakers | 56 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1997 Atlanta Hawks | 56 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1976 Golden State Warriors | 59 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1982 Seattle Supersonics | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2005 Detroit Pistons | 54 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
6 | 1980 Seattle Supersonics | 56 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1998 Chicago Bulls | 62 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
8 | 1983 Boston Celtics | 56 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2008 Detroit Pistons | 59 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2002 New Jersey Nets | 52 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Total | 562 | 258 | 0.685 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Memphis Grizzlies | 33 | 31 | 0.516 | |||
1 | 1984 San Diego Clippers | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1993 Atlanta Hawks | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1980 Houston Rockets | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1979 San Diego Clippers | 43 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1981 Golden State Warriors | 39 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1996 Golden State Warriors | 36 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1990 Atlanta Hawks | 41 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 2008 Washington Wizards | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2010 Philadelphia 76ers | 23 | 40 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
10 | 1999 Seattle Supersonics | 25 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 364 | 405 | 0.473 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Miami Heat | 32 | 32 | 0.500 | |||
1 | 2004 Miami Heat | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1978 Golden State Warriors | 43 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1988 Atlanta Hawks | 50 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2006 Chicago Bulls | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1987 Houston Rockets | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1992 Los Angeles Clippers | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1983 Boston Celtics | 56 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1994 Utah Jazz | 53 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1979 Indiana Pacers | 38 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1988 Milwaukee Bucks | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 452 | 368 | 0.551 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Milwaukee Bucks | 34 | 29 | 0.540 | |||
1 | 2001 Phoenix Suns | 51 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1980 Kansas City Kings | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1997 Cleveland Cavaliers | 42 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2010 Miami Heat | 32 | 32 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
5 | 1987 Indiana Pacers | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2007 Cleveland Cavaliers | 50 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
7 | 2004 Miami Heat | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1978 Golden State Warriors | 43 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2006 Chicago Bulls | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1998 New York Knickerbockers | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 432 | 370 | 0.539 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Minnesota Timberwolves | 14 | 50 | 0.219 | |||
1 | 2008 Milwaukee Bucks | 26 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2005 Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2009 Oklahoma City Thunder | 23 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1992 Orlando Magic | 21 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2002 Chicago Bulls | 21 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2000 Vancouver Grizzlies | 22 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2008 New York Knickerbockers | 23 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1989 New Jersey Nets | 26 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2010 Philadelphia 76ers | 23 | 40 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
10 | 2002 Atlanta Hawks | 33 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 231 | 570 | 0.288 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 New Jersey Nets | 7 | 56 | 0.111 | |||
1 | 1998 Denver Nuggets | 11 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2001 Chicago Bulls | 15 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1981 Dallas Mavericks | 15 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1996 Vancouver Grizzlies | 15 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1974 Philadelphia 76ers | 25 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2005 New Orleans Hornets | 18 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2002 Chicago Bulls | 21 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1997 Dallas Mavericks | 24 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2001 New Jersey Nets | 26 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2007 Atlanta Hawks | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 200 | 620 | 0.244 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 New Orleans Hornets | 32 | 32 | 0.500 | |||
1 | 2009 New York Knickerbockers | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2003 Seattle Supersonics | 40 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2010 New York Knickerbockers | 22 | 41 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
4 | 1999 Phoenix Suns | 27 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1992 Charlotte Hornets | 31 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1977 Milwaukee Bucks | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1992 Atlanta Hawks | 38 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1984 Dallas Mavericks | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1987 San Antonio Spurs | 28 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1980 Cleveland Cavaliers | 37 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 328 | 441 | 0.427 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 New York Knickerbockers | 22 | 41 | 0.349 | |||
1 | 2009 New York Knickerbockers | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2010 New Orleans Hornets | 32 | 32 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
3 | 1992 Charlotte Hornets | 31 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1982 Utah Jazz | 25 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1977 Milwaukee Bucks | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1988 San Antonio Spurs | 31 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2003 Memphis Grizzlies | 28 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1993 Washington Bullets | 22 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2004 Phoenix Suns | 29 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2005 Toronto Raptors | 33 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 293 | 509 | 0.365 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Oklahoma City Thunder | 38 | 24 | 0.613 | |||
1 | 2004 Detroit Pistons | 54 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2 | 1990 San Antonio Spurs | 56 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1986 Atlanta Hawks | 50 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1984 Philadelphia 76ers | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2002 Philadelphia 76ers | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2003 Indiana Pacers | 48 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1974 Detroit Pistons | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 2001 Philadelphia 76ers | 56 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
9 | 1995 Indiana Pacers | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1988 Houston Rockets | 46 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 509 | 311 | 0.621 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Orlando Magic | 45 | 20 | 0.692 | |||
1 | 2009 Orlando Magic | 59 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
2 | 2010 Cleveland Cavaliers | 50 | 15 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
3 | 1999 Miami Heat | 33 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2001 San Antonio Spurs | 58 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2008 Orlando Magic | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2005 Miami Heat | 59 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2000 San Antonio Spurs | 53 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1986 Boston Celtics | 67 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
9 | 1993 San Antonio Spurs | 49 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2006 Miami Heat | 52 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Total | 532 | 239 | 0.690 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Philadelphia 76ers | 23 | 40 | 0.365 | |||
1 | 1983 Golden State Warriors | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1997 Toronto Raptors | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2007 Seattle Supersonics | 31 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2008 Washington Wizards | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1982 New York Knickerbockers | 33 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2004 New Orleans Hornets | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1993 Atlanta Hawks | 43 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1995 Miami Heat | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1976 Detroit Pistons | 36 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1993 Los Angeles Lakers | 39 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 358 | 462 | 0.437 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Phoenix Suns | 40 | 25 | 0.615 | |||
1 | 1994 Orlando Magic | 50 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1995 Orlando Magic | 57 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
3 | 1997 Charlotte Hornets | 54 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2002 Milwaukee Bucks | 41 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1993 Charlotte Hornets | 44 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1987 Los Angeles Lakers | 65 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
7 | 2008 Phoenix Suns | 55 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1975 Buffalo Braves | 49 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1981 Los Angeles Lakers | 54 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2001 Houston Rockets | 45 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 514 | 306 | 0.627 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Portland Trail Blazers | 38 | 28 | 0.576 | |||
1 | 1994 Cleveland Cavaliers | 47 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1983 Portland Trail Blazers | 46 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1990 Philadelphia 76ers | 53 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2004 Los Angeles Lakers | 56 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
5 | 2006 Los Angeles Lakers | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1983 Detroit Pistons | 37 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1998 Detroit Pistons | 37 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1988 Portland Trail Blazers | 53 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2003 Los Angeles Lakers | 50 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2004 Milwaukee Bucks | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 465 | 355 | 0.567 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Sacramento Kings | 21 | 43 | 0.328 | |||
1 | 1997 Sacramento Kings | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2010 Washington Wizards | 21 | 40 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
3 | 1986 Sacramento Kings | 37 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2007 Portland Trail Blazers | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2004 Atlanta Hawks | 28 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2000 Washington Wizards | 29 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 2010 Los Angeles Clippers | 25 | 39 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
8 | 2000 Denver Nuggets | 35 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1986 Chicago Bulls | 30 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 2005 Orlando Magic | 36 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 307 | 474 | 0.393 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 San Antonio Spurs | 36 | 25 | 0.590 | |||
1 | 1992 Boston Celtics | 51 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1977 Washington Bullets | 48 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 2009 Dallas Mavericks | 50 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2003 Minnesota Timberwolves | 51 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1984 Boston Celtics | 62 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6 | 1995 San Antonio Spurs | 62 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1994 San Antonio Spurs | 55 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1990 Los Angeles Lakers | 63 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1974 Golden State Warriors | 44 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1993 Boston Celtics | 48 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 534 | 286 | 0.651 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Toronto Raptors | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | |||
1 | 2007 Los Angeles Lakers | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1974 Phoenix Suns | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1999 Los Angeles Lakers | 31 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 1991 Indiana Pacers | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1980 San Antonio Spurs | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 2004 Milwaukee Bucks | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1990 Indiana Pacers | 42 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 2001 Houston Rockets | 45 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 1997 Charlotte Hornets | 54 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1994 Charlotte Hornets | 41 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 408 | 380 | 0.518 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Utah Jazz | 41 | 22 | 0.651 | |||
1 | 1977 Portland Trail Blazers | 49 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2 | 2000 Utah Jazz | 55 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 1995 Seattle Supersonics | 57 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2001 Utah Jazz | 53 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 1985 San Antonio Spurs | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1999 Detroit Pistons | 29 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1996 Utah Jazz | 55 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 1980 Boston Celtics | 61 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2008 Utah Jazz | 54 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1983 Kansas City Kings | 45 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 499 | 289 | 0.633 | |||
Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Playoffs | ConfChamp | NBAChamp |
2010 Washington Wizards | 21 | 40 | 0.344 | |||
1 | 1997 Sacramento Kings | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2010 Sacramento Kings | 21 | 43 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
3 | 1975 Philadelphia 76ers | 34 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 2007 Portland Trail Blazers | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | 2009 Chicago Bulls | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 1995 Philadelphia 76ers | 24 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 1991 Washington Bullets | 30 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 2001 Detroit Pistons | 32 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | 2004 Atlanta Hawks | 28 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | 1991 Orlando Magic | 31 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 307 | 495 | 0.383 |
March 10th, 2010 at 9:58 pm
Is it just me, or does it seem like none of these teams are (historically speaking, by this method) championship caliber? The most champs I saw for any one team was Orlando.
March 10th, 2010 at 10:09 pm
I find this interesting and it may lead to checking some things further.
March 10th, 2010 at 10:13 pm
Thought it was amusing that three teams similar to the 2010 Charlotte Bobcats were also coached by Larry Brown. Man knows what he's doing, doesn't he?
March 10th, 2010 at 10:27 pm
Neil would you be wiling to publish the similarity scores of the team to it's 2009 season across the league? Someone noted this issue to me and I only see 4 of the 2009 seasons in these top 10s and that seems surprisingly light.
March 10th, 2010 at 10:55 pm
What do steps 3 & 4 do for the process?
March 10th, 2010 at 11:06 pm
Great stuff. It'd be interesting to see other comparisons between present teams and their closest historical analogs. Usage distribution for the top 5 players, maybe? Top 8? I'm curious what the relationship is between team balance and victories.
March 11th, 2010 at 12:03 am
I'd like to see this list from another angle - list the NBA champions chronologically together with their most similars.
March 11th, 2010 at 1:22 pm
go ricardo. good idea!
March 11th, 2010 at 3:06 pm
It's a little confusing that you listed win% in the "playoffs" column for current teams...
March 11th, 2010 at 5:52 pm
Yeah, it was one of those situations where there's really no good place to put it, yet I wanted to have it on there as a comparison to the aggregate WPct of their most similar teams.
March 11th, 2010 at 10:25 pm
Is CLE is only team with a possible record of 62 plus wins this season?
March 12th, 2010 at 7:41 am
I noticed that four of the similar teams under the 2010 Utah Jazz were . . . the Utah Jazz. No other franchise had as many as four. It's worth noting and says quite a bit about Jerry Sloan's system especially considering that only one of the similar Utah Jazz teams (2008) had any players in common with the current team.
March 12th, 2010 at 3:54 pm
Is CLE is only team with a possible record of 62 plus wins this season?
Finally, one I can answer!
Since the Lakers are the only other team with less than 21 losses, Cleveland & LA have a chance.
But as far as similarity scores for the 2010 Celtics -
http://www.boston.com/sports/columnists/pierce/2010/03/petrified.html
March 13th, 2010 at 1:25 am
Neil,
When you do this you may also want to include efficiency differential with a weight of 1, and off/def efficiency with weights of 1/2 each so that you are matching on both quality and style. I'd be interested to see what you come up with with that method at the very least.