Best Offensive Games of 2009-10 (*according to statistical +/-)
Posted by Neil Paine on July 22, 2010
In preparation for the updated "Who Rules the Top Defenses?" post I'm planning to write next week, I had to run the advanced stats for every player-game of the 2010 season (all 26,488 of them, including the playoffs), in addition to SRS scores for defenses only. Since I now have that data completed, today I thought I might as well make a post out of it and list the best opponent-adjusted offensive games of the 2010 campaign (according to offensive SPM, at least).
What's offensive SPM, you ask? Well, as part of my "Optimizing the '95 Rockets" series in April, I wanted to use a statistical plus/minus method for offensive performances only. My first attempt at this was to apply Dan Rosenbaum's original regression to the data, but later I found a larger, more recent dataset at a site called 3 Hoops Fans. To make a long story short, I eventually came up with this regression for OSPM:
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -8.253848 1.502898 -5.492 1.22e-07 ***
pts40 0.895628 0.112222 7.981 1.17e-13 ***
tsa40 -0.851185 0.197830 -4.303 2.66e-05 ***
tsa40sq 0.009722 0.004876 1.994 0.04756 *
3pa40 0.323769 0.068934 4.697 4.95e-06 ***
ast40 0.759086 0.078240 9.702 < 2e-16 ***
orb40 0.779396 0.156450 4.982 1.37e-06 ***
tov40 -1.319595 0.262863 -5.020 1.15e-06 ***
mpg 0.068744 0.023236 2.959 0.00347 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
Residual standard error: 1.495 on 197 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.7598, Adjusted R-squared: 0.7501
F-statistic: 77.9 on 8 and 197 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
And that's what I'll be using for the post today.
Now, there's also the matter of adjusting for the opponent's defense. As I previously mentioned, I ran an SRS-like method on every game of the 2010 season (including playoffs), and these were the results I found (negative scores are good, btw):
| Rank | Team | DSRS | Rank | Team | DSRS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | -4.65 | 16 | HOU | -0.04 | |
| 2 | ORL | -4.49 | 17 | ATL | 0.17 | |
| 3 | CHA | -4.27 | 18 | MEM | 2.02 | |
| 4 | MIL | -4.17 | 19 | SAC | 2.04 | |
| 5 | LAL | -3.70 | 20 | WAS | 2.12 | |
| 6 | SAS | -3.37 | 21 | LAC | 2.12 | |
| 7 | OKC | -3.32 | 22 | NOH | 2.19 | |
| 8 | MIA | -3.08 | 23 | PHO | 2.65 | |
| 9 | CLE | -2.53 | 24 | NJN | 3.09 | |
| 10 | CHI | -2.05 | 25 | PHI | 3.12 | |
| 11 | UTA | -1.91 | 26 | MIN | 3.30 | |
| 12 | DAL | -1.50 | 27 | GSW | 3.56 | |
| 13 | IND | -0.73 | 28 | DET | 4.02 | |
| 14 | POR | -0.26 | 29 | NYK | 4.06 | |
| 15 | DEN | -0.13 | 30 | TOR | 5.75 |
To use these in the rankings of games, you simply subtract the opponent's score divided by 5 from the player's OSPM, and boom -- you've adjusted for the quality of the opposing D.
Anyway, here are the Best Offensive Games of 2009-10 (*according to statistical +/-)...
40 or more minutes played
| Player | Date | Team | Opp | GS | MP | FG | FGA | FG3 | FG3A | FT | FTA | ORB | AST | TOV | PTS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller | 1/30/2010 | POR | DAL | 1 | 42.2 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 23.77 |
| LeBron James | 12/30/2009 | CLE | ATL | 1 | 43.2 | 15 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 22.59 |
| LeBron James | 4/19/2010 | CLE | CHI | 1 | 41.1 | 16 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 40 | 22.02 |
| Brandon Jennings | 11/14/2009 | MIL | GSW | 1 | 40.7 | 21 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 55 | 21.60 |
| Chauncey Billups | 2/5/2010 | DEN | LAL | 1 | 40.4 | 12 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 21.18 |
| Deron Williams | 4/6/2010 | UTA | OKC | 1 | 42.4 | 14 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 42 | 20.94 |
| Dwyane Wade | 1/6/2010 | MIA | BOS | 1 | 43.1 | 15 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 44 | 20.59 |
| Carmelo Anthony | 3/15/2010 | DEN | HOU | 1 | 40.0 | 18 | 35 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 20.44 |
| Dwyane Wade | 3/6/2010 | MIA | ATL | 1 | 42.0 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 38 | 20.05 |
| Brandon Roy | 10/31/2009 | POR | HOU | 1 | 41.3 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 19.90 |
| LeBron James | 2/6/2010 | CLE | NYK | 1 | 43.9 | 17 | 31 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 19.79 |
| LeBron James | 3/24/2010 | CLE | NOH | 1 | 40.8 | 15 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 38 | 19.63 |
| Chris Bosh | 1/20/2010 | TOR | MIL | 1 | 42.7 | 15 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 44 | 19.47 |
| Stephen Jackson | 1/12/2010 | CHA | HOU | 1 | 43.3 | 15 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 19.43 |
| Kobe Bryant | 5/25/2010 | LAL | PHO | 1 | 44.7 | 15 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 38 | 19.07 |
| LeBron James | 1/10/2010 | CLE | POR | 1 | 45.3 | 13 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 18.88 |
| LeBron James | 2/18/2010 | CLE | DEN | 1 | 47.0 | 15 | 33 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 43 | 18.69 |
| Kobe Bryant | 12/29/2009 | LAL | GSW | 1 | 42.9 | 13 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 44 | 18.34 |
| Brandon Roy | 12/25/2009 | POR | DEN | 1 | 43.4 | 16 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18.13 |
| Kevin Durant | 1/31/2010 | OKC | GSW | 1 | 40.1 | 16 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 45 | 17.75 |
| Luis Scola | 3/13/2010 | HOU | NJN | 1 | 41.3 | 20 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 17.73 |
| Deron Williams | 12/14/2009 | UTA | MIN | 1 | 41.1 | 11 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 38 | 17.72 |
| LeBron James | 2/4/2010 | CLE | MIA | 1 | 40.1 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 17.70 |
| Brandon Roy | 1/2/2010 | POR | GSW | 1 | 41.4 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 17.70 |
| Kevin Durant | 4/6/2010 | OKC | UTA | 1 | 43.5 | 13 | 29 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 17.49 |
| Brandon Roy | 12/20/2009 | POR | MIA | 1 | 40.6 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 28 | 17.41 |
| Dwyane Wade | 3/18/2010 | MIA | ORL | 1 | 45.4 | 12 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 36 | 17.33 |
| Gilbert Arenas | 12/18/2009 | WAS | GSW | 1 | 43.1 | 15 | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 45 | 17.30 |
| Brook Lopez | 3/26/2010 | NJN | DET | 1 | 40.7 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 17.26 |
| Carmelo Anthony | 11/27/2009 | DEN | NYK | 1 | 46.0 | 17 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 17.10 |
35-40 minutes played
| Player | Date | Team | Opp | GS | MP | FG | FGA | FG3 | FG3A | FT | FTA | ORB | AST | TOV | PTS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson | 4/22/2010 | PHO | POR | 1 | 37.1 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 29.59 |
| Ben Gordon | 4/9/2010 | DET | MIA | 1 | 36.6 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 25.69 |
| LeBron James | 4/25/2010 | CLE | CHI | 1 | 36.4 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 37 | 24.54 |
| LeBron James | 5/7/2010 | CLE | BOS | 1 | 39.3 | 14 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 38 | 24.35 |
| LeBron James | 12/13/2009 | CLE | OKC | 1 | 38.6 | 16 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 44 | 24.33 |
| Manu Ginobili | 4/2/2010 | SAS | ORL | 1 | 35.4 | 13 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 23.62 |
| Carmelo Anthony | 4/17/2010 | DEN | UTA | 1 | 38.3 | 18 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 42 | 22.79 |
| Deron Williams | 3/9/2010 | UTA | CHI | 1 | 36.6 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 28 | 22.37 |
| Vince Carter | 2/8/2010 | ORL | NOH | 1 | 38.1 | 19 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 21.99 |
| Nate Robinson | 1/1/2010 | NYK | ATL | 0 | 38.4 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 21.64 |
| Manu Ginobili | 3/8/2010 | SAS | CLE | 1 | 36.9 | 12 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 21.52 |
| LeBron James | 2/25/2010 | CLE | BOS | 1 | 36.0 | 11 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 36 | 21.20 |
| LeBron James | 11/20/2009 | CLE | IND | 1 | 37.9 | 13 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 20.95 |
| Dirk Nowitzki | 3/29/2010 | DAL | DEN | 1 | 37.3 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 34 | 20.78 |
| Steve Nash | 5/27/2010 | PHO | LAL | 1 | 35.4 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 20.49 |
| Dirk Nowitzki | 11/3/2009 | DAL | UTA | 1 | 39.1 | 12 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 40 | 20.34 |
| Brandon Roy | 1/8/2010 | POR | LAL | 1 | 37.9 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 32 | 20.33 |
| Kobe Bryant | 5/17/2010 | LAL | PHO | 1 | 35.5 | 13 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 20.28 |
| O.J. Mayo | 11/1/2009 | MEM | DEN | 1 | 37.8 | 17 | 25 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 20.05 |
| Manu Ginobili | 3/28/2010 | SAS | BOS | 1 | 35.9 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 19.98 |
| Jamal Crawford | 4/3/2010 | ATL | DET | 0 | 35.1 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 19.92 |
| Ray Allen | 12/1/2009 | BOS | CHA | 1 | 35.8 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 19.75 |
| Chauncey Billups | 1/20/2010 | DEN | GSW | 1 | 38.0 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 37 | 19.52 |
| Richard Hamilton | 2/17/2010 | DET | ORL | 1 | 36.4 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 19.27 |
| Marcus Camby | 4/12/2010 | POR | OKC | 1 | 36.2 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 19.25 |
| Chauncey Billups | 2/25/2010 | DEN | GSW | 1 | 37.3 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 37 | 19.12 |
| David West | 12/29/2009 | NOH | HOU | 1 | 39.1 | 18 | 30 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 18.93 |
| Danny Granger | 3/26/2010 | IND | UTA | 1 | 37.8 | 14 | 23 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 44 | 18.63 |
| Al Harrington | 11/27/2009 | NYK | DEN | 0 | 38.4 | 14 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 18.62 |
| Chris Paul | 11/6/2009 | NOH | TOR | 1 | 35.9 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 21 | 18.32 |
30-35 minutes played
| Player | Date | Team | Opp | GS | MP | FG | FGA | FG3 | FG3A | FT | FTA | ORB | AST | TOV | PTS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Smith | 12/23/2009 | DEN | ATL | 0 | 30.3 | 15 | 25 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 30.71 |
| Manu Ginobili | 11/9/2009 | SAS | TOR | 0 | 32.2 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 36 | 26.24 |
| Brandon Roy | 3/27/2010 | POR | NOH | 1 | 32.0 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 24.54 |
| Jason Terry | 11/25/2009 | DAL | HOU | 0 | 31.8 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 27 | 23.73 |
| Deron Williams | 2/27/2010 | UTA | HOU | 1 | 32.6 | 13 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 35 | 23.57 |
| Matt Bonner | 12/7/2009 | SAS | UTA | 0 | 32.0 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 22.36 |
| Marcus Thornton | 2/23/2010 | NOH | CLE | 0 | 31.2 | 15 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 22.25 |
| Jose Calderon | 3/13/2010 | TOR | GSW | 0 | 32.0 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 24 | 21.13 |
| Vince Carter | 3/17/2010 | ORL | SAS | 1 | 30.0 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 24 | 21.06 |
| Kobe Bryant | 11/6/2009 | LAL | MEM | 1 | 33.7 | 19 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 21.03 |
| Steve Nash | 2/5/2010 | PHO | SAC | 1 | 32.3 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 23 | 20.84 |
| Dwyane Wade | 1/22/2010 | MIA | WAS | 1 | 34.0 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 32 | 20.73 |
| Dwyane Wade | 3/10/2010 | MIA | LAC | 1 | 30.3 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 27 | 20.26 |
| Goran Dragic | 1/25/2010 | PHO | UTA | 0 | 31.6 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18.55 |
| Mo Williams | 4/8/2010 | CLE | CHI | 1 | 34.9 | 12 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 18.54 |
| Danny Granger | 3/21/2010 | IND | OKC | 1 | 32.5 | 11 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 18.44 |
| Jason Richardson | 4/20/2010 | PHO | POR | 1 | 30.5 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 18.38 |
| Martell Webster | 2/16/2010 | POR | LAC | 1 | 33.7 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 18.29 |
| Kevin Durant | 3/19/2010 | OKC | TOR | 1 | 31.8 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 18.17 |
| Al Horford | 2/17/2010 | ATL | LAC | 1 | 33.4 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 18.07 |
| Jamal Crawford | 11/27/2009 | ATL | PHI | 0 | 32.7 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 17.62 |
| Stephen Curry | 3/15/2010 | GSW | LAL | 1 | 33.8 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 29 | 17.58 |
| Jarrett Jack | 2/20/2010 | TOR | WAS | 1 | 31.4 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 17.49 |
| Chris Bosh | 11/6/2009 | TOR | NOH | 1 | 30.4 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 17.47 |
| Brandon Roy | 10/29/2009 | POR | DEN | 1 | 33.1 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 17.41 |
| Corey Maggette | 1/5/2010 | GSW | DEN | 1 | 32.5 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 17.40 |
| Jason Richardson | 4/29/2010 | PHO | POR | 1 | 32.6 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 17.35 |
| Dwyane Wade | 1/19/2010 | MIA | IND | 1 | 31.1 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 17.34 |
| Toney Douglas | 3/13/2010 | NYK | DAL | 1 | 30.9 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 17.29 |
| Mike Bibby | 3/5/2010 | ATL | GSW | 1 | 32.6 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 17.22 |
25-30 minutes played
| Player | Date | Team | Opp | GS | MP | FG | FGA | FG3 | FG3A | FT | FTA | ORB | AST | TOV | PTS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum | 2/27/2010 | POR | MIN | 1 | 29.2 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 31 | 26.94 |
| Matt Bonner | 11/23/2009 | SAS | MIL | 0 | 25.4 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 26.07 |
| J.R. Smith | 3/13/2010 | DEN | MEM | 0 | 28.5 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 24.85 |
| Dwyane Wade | 1/23/2010 | MIA | SAC | 1 | 29.8 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 23.30 |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 3/27/2010 | DAL | GSW | 0 | 29.9 | 15 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 22.91 |
| Stephen Jackson | 1/16/2010 | CHA | PHO | 1 | 29.3 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 29 | 21.99 |
| Gilbert Arenas | 10/31/2009 | WAS | NJN | 1 | 29.4 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 21.87 |
| Marcus Thornton | 3/1/2010 | NOH | SAS | 0 | 27.1 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 21.48 |
| Jameer Nelson | 3/1/2010 | ORL | PHI | 1 | 27.5 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 21.45 |
| Mike Dunleavy | 1/13/2010 | IND | PHO | 0 | 26.4 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 20.91 |
| Chris Duhon | 1/3/2010 | NYK | IND | 1 | 25.1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 18 | 20.69 |
| Greg Oden | 11/23/2009 | POR | CHI | 1 | 26.8 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20.26 |
| Goran Dragic | 4/3/2010 | PHO | MIL | 0 | 26.5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 20.08 |
| Luke Ridnour | 4/14/2010 | MIL | BOS | 0 | 26.5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 19.93 |
| Lamar Odom | 2/3/2010 | LAL | CHA | 0 | 27.8 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 19.93 |
| Vince Carter | 4/14/2010 | ORL | PHI | 1 | 25.4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 19.74 |
| Ben Gordon | 2/5/2010 | DET | IND | 0 | 25.3 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 19.59 |
| Paul Pierce | 3/3/2010 | BOS | CHA | 1 | 26.5 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 19.35 |
| Steve Nash | 2/24/2010 | PHO | PHI | 1 | 29.4 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 20 | 19.32 |
| Andray Blatche | 10/31/2009 | WAS | NJN | 0 | 27.7 | 15 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 18.92 |
| Charlie Villanueva | 1/12/2010 | DET | WAS | 0 | 29.6 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 18.73 |
| Will Bynum | 11/15/2009 | DET | DAL | 0 | 29.1 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 18.71 |
| Vince Carter | 4/4/2010 | ORL | MEM | 1 | 29.0 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 18.35 |
| Jared Dudley | 4/2/2010 | PHO | DET | 0 | 29.5 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 18.24 |
| LeBron James | 12/27/2009 | CLE | HOU | 1 | 29.4 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 18.23 |
| Amare Stoudemire | 3/3/2010 | PHO | LAC | 1 | 28.7 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 18.13 |
| Jamal Crawford | 3/11/2010 | ATL | WAS | 0 | 29.6 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 17.93 |
| Craig Smith | 3/25/2010 | LAC | HOU | 0 | 25.5 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 17.62 |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 12/23/2009 | CLE | SAC | 0 | 26.1 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17.48 |
| Tony Parker | 10/31/2009 | SAS | SAC | 1 | 26.7 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 24 | 17.45 |
20-25 minutes played
| Player | Date | Team | Opp | GS | MP | FG | FGA | FG3 | FG3A | FT | FTA | ORB | AST | TOV | PTS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh | 12/5/2009 | TOR | CHI | 1 | 22.3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 32.90 |
| Ryan Anderson | 3/28/2010 | ORL | DEN | 0 | 20.1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 26.11 |
| Chris Paul | 11/9/2009 | NOH | LAC | 1 | 24.9 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 24 | 25.52 |
| Luke Ridnour | 1/22/2010 | MIL | TOR | 0 | 23.7 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 24.57 |
| Sergio Rodriguez | 11/29/2009 | SAC | NOH | 0 | 24.0 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 23.95 |
| Amare Stoudemire | 12/30/2009 | PHO | BOS | 1 | 22.7 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 23.46 |
| Manu Ginobili | 3/19/2010 | SAS | GSW | 1 | 21.9 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 23 | 23.45 |
| Acie Law | 3/17/2010 | CHI | DAL | 0 | 21.4 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 22.94 |
| Charlie Villanueva | 4/6/2010 | DET | PHI | 0 | 23.2 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 22.85 |
| Matt Bonner | 3/13/2010 | SAS | LAC | 0 | 21.6 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 21.83 |
| Ryan Anderson | 4/9/2010 | ORL | NYK | 0 | 22.1 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 21.71 |
| Jodie Meeks | 4/12/2010 | PHI | MIA | 0 | 23.8 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 21.70 |
| J.R. Smith | 11/17/2009 | DEN | TOR | 0 | 21.9 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 21.22 |
| Corey Maggette | 11/14/2009 | GSW | MIL | 0 | 21.8 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 21.07 |
| Kyle Korver | 5/8/2010 | UTA | LAL | 0 | 23.8 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20.99 |
| Nick Collison | 12/2/2009 | OKC | PHI | 0 | 20.7 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20.63 |
| Dirk Nowitzki | 4/12/2010 | DAL | LAC | 1 | 22.6 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 20.47 |
| Aaron Brooks | 1/27/2010 | HOU | DEN | 1 | 20.3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20.12 |
| Eddie House | 10/30/2009 | BOS | CHI | 0 | 22.1 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19.60 |
| Al Horford | 12/2/2009 | ATL | TOR | 1 | 23.4 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 19.22 |
| Rasheed Wallace | 11/3/2009 | BOS | PHI | 0 | 23.9 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 19.18 |
| Marreese Speights | 4/14/2010 | PHI | ORL | 0 | 23.1 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19.01 |
| Keith Bogans | 4/12/2010 | SAS | MIN | 0 | 21.4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 18.72 |
| Mehmet Okur | 1/23/2010 | UTA | NJN | 1 | 21.1 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18.38 |
| Jason Williams | 12/30/2009 | ORL | MIL | 0 | 24.9 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 18.18 |
| Jerryd Bayless | 1/8/2010 | POR | LAL | 0 | 21.1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 18.11 |
| Matt Bonner | 11/29/2009 | SAS | PHI | 0 | 20.6 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18.08 |
| Anthony Johnson | 11/26/2009 | ORL | ATL | 0 | 21.1 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 17.98 |
| Glen Davis | 6/10/2010 | BOS | LAL | 0 | 22.5 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17.51 |
| Sam Young | 4/2/2010 | MEM | NOH | 0 | 20.9 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17.35 |
10-20 minutes played
| Player | Date | Team | Opp | GS | MP | FG | FGA | FG3 | FG3A | FT | FTA | ORB | AST | TOV | PTS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic | 5/7/2010 | PHO | SAS | 0 | 17.5 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 39.40 |
| Keyon Dooling | 3/12/2010 | NJN | OKC | 0 | 15.2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 15 | 31.28 |
| Willie Green | 11/25/2009 | PHI | BOS | 0 | 13.6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 30.87 |
| Mickael Pietrus | 4/1/2010 | ORL | DAL | 0 | 18.4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 29.58 |
| C.J. Miles | 3/9/2010 | UTA | CHI | 0 | 18.5 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 26.88 |
| Tim Duncan | 3/19/2010 | SAS | GSW | 1 | 13.8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 26.77 |
| Vince Carter | 10/30/2009 | ORL | NJN | 1 | 14.7 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 26.38 |
| Luke Ridnour | 12/9/2009 | MIL | TOR | 0 | 14.6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 26.37 |
| Jannero Pargo | 11/23/2009 | CHI | POR | 0 | 13.7 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 26.13 |
| Charlie Villanueva | 11/18/2009 | DET | POR | 1 | 16.2 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25.59 |
| Rafer Alston | 12/15/2009 | NJN | CLE | 0 | 18.6 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 25.02 |
| Aaron Gray | 3/31/2010 | NOH | WAS | 0 | 12.8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 24.40 |
| Nate Robinson | 5/28/2010 | BOS | ORL | 0 | 13.1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 24.17 |
| Goran Dragic | 4/22/2010 | PHO | POR | 0 | 10.0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 23.99 |
| Michael Finley | 3/15/2010 | BOS | DET | 0 | 13.6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 23.69 |
| Rasheed Wallace | 5/26/2010 | BOS | ORL | 0 | 18.0 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22.99 |
| C.J. Watson | 11/9/2009 | GSW | MIN | 0 | 10.8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 22.66 |
| Nate Robinson | 3/2/2010 | BOS | DET | 0 | 15.1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21.19 |
| Roy Hibbert | 2/25/2010 | IND | MIL | 0 | 10.9 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20.99 |
| Jon Brockman | 1/12/2010 | SAC | ORL | 0 | 12.5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20.39 |
| Anderson Varejao | 3/1/2010 | CLE | NYK | 0 | 16.3 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 19.81 |
| Nazr Mohammed | 1/20/2010 | CHA | MIA | 1 | 16.1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19.64 |
| Alando Tucker | 12/1/2009 | PHO | NYK | 0 | 12.0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19.58 |
| Rodney Carney | 12/30/2009 | PHI | SAC | 0 | 15.7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19.56 |
| Jonathan Bender | 1/26/2010 | NYK | MIN | 0 | 12.0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19.56 |
| Marco Belinelli | 11/9/2009 | TOR | SAS | 0 | 17.3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 19.52 |
| Ryan Anderson | 1/30/2010 | ORL | ATL | 0 | 17.3 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19.52 |
| Eddie House | 11/3/2009 | BOS | PHI | 0 | 14.6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19.40 |
| D.J. Augustin | 12/19/2009 | CHA | UTA | 0 | 13.7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19.31 |
| Sergio Rodriguez | 11/23/2009 | SAC | MEM | 0 | 17.8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 19.11 |
Playoffs only, at least 24 minutes played
| Player | Date | Team | Opp | GS | MP | FG | FGA | FG3 | FG3A | FT | FTA | ORB | AST | TOV | PTS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson | 4/22/2010 | PHO | POR | 1 | 37.1 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 29.59 |
| LeBron James | 4/25/2010 | CLE | CHI | 1 | 36.4 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 37 | 24.54 |
| LeBron James | 5/7/2010 | CLE | BOS | 1 | 39.3 | 14 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 38 | 24.35 |
| Carmelo Anthony | 4/17/2010 | DEN | UTA | 1 | 38.3 | 18 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 42 | 22.79 |
| LeBron James | 4/19/2010 | CLE | CHI | 1 | 41.1 | 16 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 40 | 22.02 |
| Steve Nash | 5/27/2010 | PHO | LAL | 1 | 35.4 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 20.49 |
| Kobe Bryant | 5/17/2010 | LAL | PHO | 1 | 35.5 | 13 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 20.28 |
| Kobe Bryant | 5/25/2010 | LAL | PHO | 1 | 44.7 | 15 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 38 | 19.07 |
| Jason Richardson | 4/20/2010 | PHO | POR | 1 | 30.5 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 18.38 |
| Jameer Nelson | 4/18/2010 | ORL | CHA | 1 | 37.3 | 10 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 18.14 |
| Jameer Nelson | 4/24/2010 | ORL | CHA | 1 | 38.3 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 17.90 |
| Jason Richardson | 4/29/2010 | PHO | POR | 1 | 32.6 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 17.35 |
| Josh Smith | 4/20/2010 | ATL | MIL | 1 | 33.3 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 17.18 |
| Steve Nash | 5/29/2010 | PHO | LAL | 1 | 30.3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 17.00 |
| Jameer Nelson | 5/26/2010 | ORL | BOS | 1 | 30.0 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16.64 |
| Pau Gasol | 4/27/2010 | LAL | OKC | 1 | 29.8 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 16.52 |
| Pau Gasol | 5/10/2010 | LAL | UTA | 1 | 40.3 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 16.43 |
| Dwyane Wade | 4/25/2010 | MIA | BOS | 1 | 43.4 | 16 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 16.05 |
| Jared Dudley | 4/26/2010 | PHO | POR | 0 | 24.6 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15.92 |
| Dirk Nowitzki | 4/29/2010 | DAL | SAS | 1 | 38.4 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 15.68 |
| Channing Frye | 4/26/2010 | PHO | POR | 0 | 26.9 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15.63 |
| Steve Nash | 4/20/2010 | PHO | POR | 1 | 29.5 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 15.56 |
| John Salmons | 4/24/2010 | MIL | ATL | 1 | 30.9 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 15.56 |
| Dwyane Wade | 4/20/2010 | MIA | BOS | 1 | 37.2 | 11 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 15.38 |
| Ray Allen | 5/11/2010 | BOS | CLE | 1 | 38.1 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 15.28 |
| Kobe Bryant | 6/13/2010 | LAL | BOS | 1 | 43.9 | 13 | 27 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 15.22 |
| Ray Allen | 4/20/2010 | BOS | MIA | 1 | 33.4 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 15.17 |
| Dirk Nowitzki | 4/18/2010 | DAL | SAS | 1 | 40.4 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 15.11 |
| Caron Butler | 4/27/2010 | DAL | SAS | 1 | 36.6 | 12 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 14.63 |
| LeBron James | 5/1/2010 | CLE | BOS | 1 | 43.2 | 12 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 14.55 |
July 22nd, 2010 at 9:08 am
I like the breakdown by minutes played. Nice touch. I hope Dragic has a good season. When that kid is on (as we can see above), he is something to watch.
July 22nd, 2010 at 9:21 am
For real, Dragic's 4th quarter vs. the Spurs was one of the most amazing performances I've ever seen.
July 22nd, 2010 at 9:32 am
Should I run a OSPM and DSPM advanced regression, Neil? That more complex scoring term could come in handy for accounting for offense.
July 22nd, 2010 at 9:54 am
Excellent work, by the way. I think we're getting closer to a good "game score" using SPM. BTW, I did this same thing for each game in the NBA finals for overall SPM, also adjusting to make sure the totals summed to the efficiency differential in each game. See http://sonicscentral.com/apbrmetrics/viewtopic.php?p=31765#31765 , though I have revised the SPM since then.
July 22nd, 2010 at 9:58 am
I think it should probably be broken up into offensive and defensive SPM if possible (it hasn't been possible for the datasets from Rosenbaum and Barzilai, though -- they just created an overall APM score). Most of the team adjustment we're doing comes on defense, because the box score is pretty clueless about D. Offensively, we're actually getting some decent R^2s, but the defensive aspect is where a lot of the error comes in.
July 22nd, 2010 at 10:06 am
Right. My Ilardi 6 year and Sill 4 Year data has everything split out, so I can at least get reasonable numbers.
July 22nd, 2010 at 10:32 am
So, could we use the minutes played as factor in increasing the overall score? The fewer the minutes the larger the bonus? Not too much. Just enough to build a weighted master list.
July 22nd, 2010 at 10:34 am
P Middy: Just multiply SPM by minutes to get overall contribution.
July 22nd, 2010 at 10:42 am
If the numbers look different than they did a second ago, it's not just you -- I went in and edited the post because I screwed up the initial quality of defense adjustment... You don't subtract the entire opponent defensive SRS, you only subtract 1/5 of it.
July 22nd, 2010 at 11:01 am
Nice. Thanks DSMok1.
July 22nd, 2010 at 11:22 am
Here are the best 10 overall, sorted by VORP (which is calculated as (SPM+3)*MP/48):
Player Date Team Opp GS MP FG FGA FG3 FG3A FT FTA ORB AST TOV PTS Rating VORPJason Richardson 4/22/2010 PHO POR 1 37.1 13 19 8 12 8 10 2 2 0 42 29.59 25.19
Andre Miller 1/30/2010 POR DAL 1 42.2 22 31 1 1 7 8 1 2 2 52 23.77 23.54
LeBron James 12/30/2009 CLE ATL 1 43.2 15 23 4 6 14 16 3 6 3 48 22.59 23.03
LeBron James 5/7/2010 CLE BOS 1 39.3 14 22 2 3 8 9 2 7 1 38 24.35 22.39
LeBron James 12/13/2009 CLE OKC 1 38.6 16 29 5 8 7 10 0 6 1 44 24.33 21.98
Ben Gordon 4/9/2010 DET MIA 1 36.6 12 21 7 11 8 8 0 3 1 39 25.69 21.88
LeBron James 4/19/2010 CLE CHI 1 41.1 16 23 2 4 6 6 1 8 2 40 22.02 21.42
J.R. Smith 12/23/2009 DEN ATL 0 30.3 15 25 10 17 1 6 0 3 0 41 30.71 21.28
LeBron James 2/18/2010 CLE DEN 1 47 15 33 1 9 12 17 1 15 3 43 18.69 21.24
Dwyane Wade 1/6/2010 MIA BOS 1 43.1 15 34 3 7 11 16 5 7 2 44 20.59 21.18
July 22nd, 2010 at 11:48 am
Thanks for all the charts/graphs DSMok1.
Interesting work as well Neil.
July 22nd, 2010 at 1:41 pm
Great stuff, Neil!
July 22nd, 2010 at 1:49 pm
@ Neil
I just posted the "ADVANCED SPM" offensive and defensive regressions on APBR, using the same variables I use for the overall one. The offensive one should be solid.
July 22nd, 2010 at 8:59 pm
It will be funny going back and seeing Andre Miller having the best or near best offensive game of the season (this was the case before this post, too).
It was such an anomaly of a performance. not as bad as Delk's 50+ point night. Would make an interesting post. The biggest single game offensive anomalies. Comparing a player's single best game vs their expected range or something.
Also, I'd love to see this analysis for Kobe's 81. :-D
July 23rd, 2010 at 2:23 am
Surprise, bron's name comes up more times in the regular season and playoffs than the so-called best player in the world (Kobe). Just shows u that no matter how many times people claim that kobe is the superior player, numbers/facts beg to differ.
July 23rd, 2010 at 3:01 am
A haven for haters congregation!Jealousy at its best:)
I love this site..
July 23rd, 2010 at 4:25 am
"Surprise, bron's name comes up more times in the regular season and playoffs than the so-called best player in the world (Kobe). Just shows u that no matter how many times people claim that kobe is the superior player, numbers/facts beg to differ."
Kobe doesn't have to do as much offensively as Lebron these days. He also played less games than Lebron and less minutes.
He's also over 30 years old... compared to James' 25 year old body.
But hey, don't mind Kobe. He'll keep on keeping on despite needing to have his knee repaired surgically and playing with a useless finger that everyone uses to shoot with that might never be fixed. We'll just watch Lebron quit on his team because he bumped his elbow in in locker room once he's done beating up on mediocre teams like the Bulls.
See how easy this is? :D
July 23rd, 2010 at 5:21 am
" he's done beating up on mediocre teams like the Bulls.
See how easy this is? :D"
Except smart one, the Bulls are #10 in defensive SRS. Pay attention before you spew nonsense like that.
No one cares that Kobe is 30, he was inferior back in 2006 as well.
Even easier for me.
July 23rd, 2010 at 5:25 am
"He'll keep on keeping on despite needing to have his knee repaired surgically and playing with a useless finger that everyone uses to shoot with that might never be fixed. We'll just watch Lebron quit on his team because he bumped his elbow in in locker room "
He'll keep on choking in his prime playoff years with his putrid playoff production (ages 23-28)? Did he also have a finger as an excuse when he was getting bounced by the Pistons and Prime Shaq was on his team? He basically lost that series by himself with that performance. Oh yeah btw, being 25 years old didn't save him back then.
Good morning.
July 23rd, 2010 at 6:49 am
lol
July 23rd, 2010 at 11:35 am
Even LeBron fans will tell you he quit at the end of game 6 when he refused to foul. I don't think that can be disputed. But they will also tell you that he did so after posting 29, 19, and 10. 3 steals. Otherwise known as "all he had" against the best D in the league. Criticizing is good, keeping it in context is better.
July 23rd, 2010 at 3:30 pm
I'd be interested in seeing which teams had the best overall offensive games...
July 23rd, 2010 at 3:41 pm
You can do that with the team game finder... You'd have to calculate the number of possessions yourself with Excel or something if you want it in rating form.
July 23rd, 2010 at 3:46 pm
"He'll keep on choking in his prime playoff years with his putrid playoff production (ages 23-28)? Did he also have a finger as an excuse when he was getting bounced by the Pistons and Prime Shaq was on his team? He basically lost that series by himself with that performance. Oh yeah btw, being 25 years old didn't save him back then.
Good morning."
http://telepromptedanthems.files.wordpress.com/2008/07/u-mad1.jpg
July 23rd, 2010 at 7:44 pm
"For real, Dragic's 4th quarter vs. the Spurs was one of the most amazing performances I've ever seen."
As a lifelong Spurs fan, I watched in slack-jawed horror. It looked like Dragic was shooting in a gym by himself.
July 24th, 2010 at 1:24 am
No I live in Miami, I'm ecstatic. :]
July 25th, 2010 at 8:42 am
Am I the only one surprised to see Rodrigue Beaubois here?
July 25th, 2010 at 12:54 pm
I'd say any time you score 40 points in 30 minutes (on 15-22 FG, including 9-11 on threes!!), you're probably going to make a list like this...
July 26th, 2010 at 5:48 pm
Thanks for the great analysis. It confirms what my eyes saw in the playoffs: J-Rich absolutely *killed* Portland in Round 1!