BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (November 12, 2010)
Posted by Neil Paine on November 12, 2010
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on November 11, 2010:
| Rank | Prev | Team | W | L | WPct | Offense | Rk | Prv | Defense | Rk | Prv | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | New Orleans Hornets | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.60 | 9 | 10 | -9.39 | 1 | 3 | 11.99 |
| 2 | 1 | Miami Heat | 5 | 4 | 0.556 | 6.80 | 3 | 1 | -3.81 | 6 | 2 | 10.62 |
| 3 | 8 | Boston Celtics | 7 | 2 | 0.778 | 2.39 | 10 | 13 | -5.52 | 4 | 9 | 7.91 |
| 4 | 4 | Los Angeles Lakers | 8 | 1 | 0.889 | 6.91 | 2 | 4 | -0.89 | 12 | 6 | 7.80 |
| 5 | 6 | Dallas Mavericks | 5 | 2 | 0.714 | -0.24 | 15 | 14 | -6.69 | 3 | 5 | 6.45 |
| 6 | 3 | Denver Nuggets | 5 | 4 | 0.556 | 7.15 | 1 | 7 | 0.71 | 15 | 4 | 6.44 |
| 7 | 19 | Milwaukee Bucks | 4 | 5 | 0.444 | -2.78 | 25 | 26 | -8.00 | 2 | 8 | 5.23 |
| 8 | 9 | San Antonio Spurs | 6 | 1 | 0.857 | 3.63 | 6 | 12 | -1.16 | 11 | 11 | 4.79 |
| 9 | 10 | Portland Trail Blazers | 6 | 3 | 0.667 | 3.16 | 8 | 9 | -1.60 | 9 | 19 | 4.76 |
| 10 | 22 | Chicago Bulls | 4 | 3 | 0.571 | 0.51 | 14 | 22 | -3.47 | 7 | 23 | 3.98 |
| 11 | 2 | Orlando Magic | 5 | 2 | 0.714 | -1.30 | 19 | 11 | -5.26 | 5 | 1 | 3.95 |
| 12 | 20 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 3 | 0.500 | 2.00 | 11 | 23 | -0.23 | 14 | 20 | 2.23 |
| 13 | 15 | Utah Jazz | 5 | 3 | 0.625 | -0.68 | 17 | 15 | -2.77 | 8 | 16 | 2.09 |
| 14 | 12 | Phoenix Suns | 3 | 4 | 0.429 | 5.35 | 4 | 6 | 4.32 | 27 | 21 | 1.02 |
| 15 | 7 | Atlanta Hawks | 6 | 3 | 0.667 | 4.87 | 5 | 2 | 4.50 | 28 | 18 | 0.38 |
| 16 | 13 | Houston Rockets | 1 | 6 | 0.143 | 3.16 | 7 | 3 | 3.29 | 23 | 25 | -0.13 |
| 17 | 14 | Philadelphia 76ers | 2 | 6 | 0.250 | -2.68 | 21 | 24 | -1.20 | 10 | 7 | -1.48 |
| 18 | 11 | New York Knickerbockers | 3 | 5 | 0.375 | -0.27 | 16 | 16 | 1.84 | 19 | 10 | -2.11 |
| 19 | 17 | Memphis Grizzlies | 4 | 5 | 0.444 | -2.68 | 22 | 20 | -0.54 | 13 | 13 | -2.15 |
| 20 | 16 | Golden State Warriors | 6 | 3 | 0.667 | 0.68 | 12 | 8 | 2.96 | 22 | 26 | -2.28 |
| 21 | 25 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 4 | 3 | 0.571 | 0.54 | 13 | 21 | 4.30 | 26 | 28 | -3.77 |
| 22 | 24 | Charlotte Bobcats | 2 | 6 | 0.250 | -1.49 | 20 | 17 | 2.59 | 21 | 29 | -4.07 |
| 23 | 27 | Los Angeles Clippers | 1 | 8 | 0.111 | -4.21 | 27 | 28 | 0.95 | 16 | 14 | -5.15 |
| 24 | 21 | Toronto Raptors | 1 | 7 | 0.125 | -2.70 | 23 | 18 | 3.35 | 24 | 22 | -6.05 |
| 25 | 26 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 | 4 | 0.500 | -2.71 | 24 | 29 | 4.56 | 29 | 12 | -7.28 |
| 26 | 28 | New Jersey Nets | 3 | 5 | 0.375 | -6.36 | 28 | 30 | 1.21 | 17 | 15 | -7.58 |
| 27 | 30 | Detroit Pistons | 2 | 6 | 0.250 | -4.20 | 26 | 25 | 3.72 | 25 | 27 | -7.92 |
| 28 | 18 | Washington Wizards | 2 | 4 | 0.333 | -8.59 | 29 | 19 | 1.22 | 18 | 17 | -9.81 |
| 29 | 23 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 4 | 0.429 | -1.29 | 18 | 5 | 8.83 | 30 | 30 | -10.12 |
| 30 | 29 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 2 | 7 | 0.222 | -9.11 | 30 | 27 | 2.09 | 20 | 24 | -11.20 |
| HCA | 2.94 | |||||||||||
| LgAvg | 106.70 |
To read more about the methodology and what these numbers mean, click here.
November 12th, 2010 at 12:56 pm
Any idea of how many games of 0 margin must be added in to get a best estimate of true talent level at this point? I'm guessing something like 5...
November 12th, 2010 at 1:19 pm
I didn't go through this with adjusted efficiency differential per se, but SRS is a quick-n-dirty proxy... Through Nov 11 of last year, you needed to add seven games of zero to get the lowest squared errors when predicting final SRS (postseason included):
November 12th, 2010 at 1:26 pm
That was quick!
We would then estimate that a weighted average with 7 games of 0 would be the best estimate throughout the season...
Any ideas on how many games of the SRS preseason projection would yield the best estimate? Probably more like 12 or 15...
November 12th, 2010 at 1:53 pm
Surprised the Hornets and Bucks are so far out in front on the defensive side, even considering we're only a couple weeks in.
December 9th, 2010 at 3:31 pm
#3 - Good question, I think I'll look at that at some point.