Projected Draft Order
Results are based on 10,000 simulations of remainder of
season, including the play-in round.
Teams are sorted by their projected draft order, given their rank within
their conference. The first table projects the draft order prior to the lottery
process, and the second table applies lottery probabilities.
During the season these likelihoods are based on the simulations we use to
project the final standings.
Pre-Lottery Draft Position
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 42.2 | 31.3 | 20.2 | 6.2 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SAS | 36.8 | 34.5 | 22.1 | 6.5 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DET | 18.7 | 27.1 | 37.6 | 16.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CHO | 2.3 | 7.1 | 19.9 | 67.1 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ORL | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 69.3 | 14.7 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||
| LAL | 0.1 | 9.8 | 23.6 | 16.7 | 12.8 | 9.7 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| IND | 0.0 | 6.0 | 17.2 | 15.5 | 12.1 | 9.3 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| ATL | 0.0 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 8.3 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 8.6 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 8.6 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||
| WAS | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 7.7 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 8.3 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| POR | 1.6 | 6.2 | 8.0 | 8.6 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| LAC | 0.4 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 6.3 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 8.0 | 5.1 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| OKC | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 5.7 | 9.2 | 11.1 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||
| UTA | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 9.9 | 11.1 | 7.9 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| NOP | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 9.1 | 8.6 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||
| DAL | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 6.7 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 8.6 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |||||||
| PHO | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 9.6 | 11.1 | 8.6 | 8.8 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||
| NYK | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 8.1 | 9.8 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 13.3 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||
| SAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 19.2 | 13.7 | 10.0 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | ||||||
| CLE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 9.9 | 11.4 | 22.8 | 13.3 | 8.1 | 9.4 | 3.5 | |||||||||||
| BRK | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 11.2 | 9.4 | 12.4 | 11.8 | 19.8 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 2.1 | |||||||||||
| MIN | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 10.2 | 15.0 | 70.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 9.7 | 15.7 | 71.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MEM | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 8.2 | 18.7 | 16.4 | 10.7 | 19.7 | 11.6 | ||||||||||||
| MIL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 9.8 | 14.1 | 68.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| TOR | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 9.4 | 15.2 | 68.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DEN | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 9.5 | 13.7 | 66.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| PHI | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 8.3 | 19.2 | 63.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| BOS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 72.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 19.4 | 76.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| GSW | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 18.5 | 78.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
Post-Lottery Draft Position
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 13.9 | 13.3 | 12.6 | 12.0 | 32.4 | 13.1 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| SAS | 13.9 | 13.3 | 12.6 | 12.0 | 31.0 | 14.3 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| DET | 13.7 | 13.2 | 12.6 | 11.9 | 23.2 | 19.5 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| CHO | 12.9 | 12.5 | 12.1 | 11.6 | 10.9 | 24.5 | 13.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ORL | 9.8 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 15.8 | 24.6 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
| LAL | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 12.9 | 15.8 | 12.1 | 8.3 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| IND | 5.0 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 9.8 | 13.5 | 11.3 | 8.8 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||
| ATL | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 7.2 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 8.6 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||
| WAS | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 9.8 | 8.3 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| POR | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 8.2 | 7.1 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||
| LAC | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 5.4 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| OKC | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 5.7 | 9.2 | 11.1 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| UTA | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 9.9 | 11.1 | 7.9 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| NOP | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 9.1 | 8.6 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||
| DAL | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 5.3 | 8.6 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |||
| PHO | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 9.6 | 11.1 | 8.6 | 8.8 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| NYK | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 8.6 | 5.3 | 8.1 | 9.8 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 13.3 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| SAC | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 19.2 | 13.7 | 10.0 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | ||
| CLE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 9.9 | 11.4 | 22.8 | 13.3 | 8.1 | 9.4 | 3.5 | |||||
| BRK | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 11.2 | 9.4 | 12.4 | 11.8 | 19.8 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 2.1 | |||||||
| MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 10.2 | 15.0 | 70.1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| CHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 9.7 | 15.7 | 71.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| MEM | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 8.2 | 18.7 | 16.4 | 10.7 | 19.7 | 11.6 | ||||||||
| MIL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 9.8 | 14.1 | 68.4 | |||||||||||||||
| TOR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 9.4 | 15.2 | 68.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 9.5 | 13.7 | 66.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| PHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 8.3 | 19.2 | 63.5 | |||||||||||||||||
| BOS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 72.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 19.4 | 76.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| GSW | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 18.5 | 78.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
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