Projected Draft Order

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of remainder of season, including the play-in round.

Teams are sorted by their projected draft order, given their rank within their conference. The first table projects the draft order prior to the lottery process, and the second table applies lottery probabilities.

During the season these likelihoods are based on the simulations we use to project the final standings.

Pre-Lottery Draft Position

Pre-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
ORL	59.8	30.2	9.1	0.8	0.1
DET	33.7	45.4	18.8	1.8	0.1	0.0	0.0
HOU	6.1	21.0	61.5	9.6	1.2	0.5	0.2
OKC	0.1	1.0	11.0	87.9
IND	0.0	0.3	1.1	3.9	3.6	12.6	25.4	18.0	14.1	9.8	6.0	2.5	1.8	0.3	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
CLE	0.0	0.3	0.3	4.2	95.1
MIN			0.0	0.0		0.1	0.5	1.4	1.6	2.5	3.6	2.8	3.8	2.9	10.5	23.0	17.1	13.9	6.2	3.7	2.8	1.7	0.9	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0
WAS				0.0	0.0	0.2	1.3	2.8	4.6	7.2	11.8	8.9	21.0	14.4	1.5	4.6	6.6	6.4	3.2	2.0	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
CHI						0.2	9.8	90.0
SAC						0.1	0.5	10.0	89.5
BOS						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.4	2.3	8.2	13.0	1.0	4.4	10.2	16.4	9.7	8.3	8.4	5.7	3.5	3.4	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0
TOR						0.0	0.3	0.4	1.0	1.8	3.7	3.3	10.9	15.1	1.3	4.5	10.6	15.0	8.5	6.5	6.3	4.5	2.6	2.9	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
NOP							0.1	1.4	9.8	88.7
CHO							0.0	0.6	1.3	10.9	87.1
SAS							0.0	0.1	0.2	1.0	16.0	82.7
PHI							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.0	1.1	4.5	9.7	0.4	2.2	7.0	12.2	10.2	9.7	11.3	10.1	6.4	8.6	2.7	1.1	0.9	0.1
MIL								0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	2.1	6.6	0.3	1.4	4.7	9.7	8.8	10.0	12.5	12.0	9.3	13.0	4.1	2.3	1.6	0.5	0.1
BRK								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	1.9	4.9	0.2	1.2	4.0	8.1	7.2	8.6	11.8	11.8	10.6	16.1	6.2	3.2	2.5	0.9	0.1	0.0
MIA												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.2	1.8	4.0	5.3	7.9	19.6	15.6	12.1	17.2	10.7	2.3	0.3
MEM														0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.7	1.5	2.1	4.5	11.5	11.8	12.1	25.2	22.9	5.9	1.1
NYK															0.1	0.6	5.8	19.2	74.3
DAL															0.0	0.1	1.1	3.0	5.9	15.5	74.4
ATL															0.0	0.1	1.6	8.6	16.6	73.1
POR																0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.6	5.9	19.2	72.5
UTA																0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.0	2.2	6.8	8.1	8.3	23.6	34.3	12.3	2.1
LAL																	0.2	0.6	0.9	4.3	21.0	73.0
LAC																	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	1.1	6.4	21.7	70.0
DEN																				0.0	0.3	0.4	2.3	5.8	21.1	70.0
GSW																					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	4.5	13.1	52.1	27.7
PHO																					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.2	4.9	24.8	68.7
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

Post-Lottery Draft Position

Post-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
ORL	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	38.5	8.6	0.8	0.0	0.0					0.1
DET	14.0	13.4	12.7	12.0	31.7	14.5	1.7	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1
HOU	13.8	13.2	12.6	11.9	18.6	22.9	6.4	0.5	0.0	0.0				0.0
OKC	12.7	12.3	12.0	11.6	8.3	25.7	15.4	1.9						0.0
IND	6.3	6.5	6.8	7.1	0.6	3.1	10.4	17.8	16.7	11.7	7.0	3.0	1.8	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
CLE	10.6	10.6	10.7	10.6	2.5	19.9	26.1	8.4	0.6					0.0
MIN	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	2.2	3.3	2.9	3.7	3.0	10.5	23.0	17.1	13.9	6.2	3.7	2.8	1.7	0.9	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0
WAS	1.4	1.5	1.6	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.3	1.5	3.4	6.1	10.6	9.2	20.2	14.6	1.5	4.6	6.6	6.4	3.2	2.0	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
CHI	6.2	6.5	6.8	7.3		0.0	2.0	34.4	30.2	6.2	0.4
SAC	4.7	5.0	5.4	5.9		0.0	0.1	3.6	48.6	23.8	2.7	0.1
BOS	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.1	2.3	7.8	12.9	1.0	4.4	10.2	16.4	9.7	8.3	8.4	5.7	3.5	3.4	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0
TOR	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.6		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.4	3.3	3.3	10.4	14.9	1.3	4.5	10.6	15.0	8.5	6.5	6.3	4.5	2.6	2.9	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
NOP	3.2	3.5	3.8	4.2			0.0	0.5	5.4	61.1	17.1	1.1
CHO	2.2	2.4	2.6	3.0			0.0	0.2	0.9	7.6	69.7	11.1	0.3
SAS	1.6	1.8	2.0	2.2			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	12.6	73.2	5.6	0.1
PHI	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.0	4.3	9.6	0.4	2.2	7.0	12.2	10.2	9.7	11.3	10.1	6.4	8.6	2.7	1.1	0.9	0.1
MIL	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	1.9	6.5	0.3	1.4	4.7	9.7	8.8	10.0	12.5	12.0	9.3	13.0	4.1	2.3	1.6	0.5	0.1
BRK	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.8	4.8	0.2	1.2	4.0	8.1	7.2	8.6	11.8	11.8	10.6	16.1	6.2	3.2	2.5	0.9	0.1	0.0
MIA	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0	0.0	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.2	1.8	4.0	5.3	7.9	19.6	15.6	12.1	17.2	10.7	2.3	0.3
MEM	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.7	1.5	2.1	4.5	11.5	11.8	12.1	25.2	22.9	5.9	1.1
NYK															0.1	0.6	5.8	19.2	74.3
DAL															0.0	0.1	1.1	3.0	5.9	15.5	74.4
ATL															0.0	0.1	1.6	8.6	16.6	73.1
POR																0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.6	5.9	19.2	72.5
UTA																0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.0	2.2	6.8	8.1	8.3	23.6	34.3	12.3	2.1
LAL																	0.2	0.6	0.9	4.3	21.0	73.0
LAC																	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	1.1	6.4	21.7	70.0
DEN																				0.0	0.3	0.4	2.3	5.8	21.1	70.0
GSW																					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	4.5	13.1	52.1	27.7
PHO																					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.2	4.9	24.8	68.7
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

Projected Draft Order

Pre-Lottery Draft Position

Post-Lottery Draft Position

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