Projected Draft Order

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of remainder of season, including the play-in round.

Teams are sorted by their projected draft order, given their rank within their conference. The first table projects the draft order prior to the lottery process, and the second table applies lottery probabilities.

During the season these likelihoods are based on the simulations we use to project the final standings.

Pre-Lottery Draft Position

Pre-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
WAS	46.3	23.7	14.5	8.3	4.0	1.8	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1
NOP	24.5	27.6	19.7	13.3	7.5	4.2	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0
UTA	13.7	19.6	21.0	18.4	12.3	6.7	3.9	2.3	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0
PHI	11.0	16.9	20.6	19.1	13.8	8.0	4.8	2.8	1.5	0.5	0.2	0.0			0.6	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
TOR	2.6	5.8	10.5	14.5	18.0	15.2	11.3	8.0	5.2	2.8	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	2.6	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
POR	1.4	4.4	7.2	12.6	15.8	17.2	12.9	10.3	7.5	5.3	2.9	1.5	0.5	0.2	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
ATL	0.2	0.9	2.5	5.2	9.1	12.7	14.4	13.0	10.2	7.4	3.8	2.0	0.5	0.1	7.9	4.7	2.8	1.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0
CHO	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.4	6.4	9.4	11.9	12.4	10.7	8.5	4.0	1.8	0.8	0.2	11.0	7.2	5.0	2.6	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
CHI	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.5	5.7	8.7	11.4	11.8	11.4	8.7	4.4	1.9	0.7	0.2	11.8	8.3	5.1	3.0	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
IND	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.3	4.5	7.2	9.0	9.3	8.6	4.9	2.6	1.1	0.4	13.1	12.5	9.2	6.5	3.1	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
DET	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.7	3.6	5.7	7.0	8.8	8.0	5.0	2.7	1.2	0.4	13.8	13.2	11.4	7.6	4.4	2.0	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1
BRK	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	2.3	3.2	4.8	6.2	6.3	4.1	2.5	1.1	0.5	12.5	14.8	14.2	10.8	6.0	4.0	2.2	1.5	0.9	0.3	0.2	0.1
MIL		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.6	3.2	3.9	5.5	6.0	3.7	2.2	0.8	0.3	12.3	14.6	13.9	12.2	7.2	4.5	2.8	1.8	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
MIA		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.5	3.2	4.3	5.0	3.4	1.8	0.9	0.3	10.9	14.0	15.0	13.6	8.5	5.3	3.7	2.6	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1		0.0
SAC		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.6	2.8	4.8	7.8	13.8	15.4	13.8	11.2	0.4	0.9	2.1	3.8	5.4	4.5	3.6	2.8	2.0	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.1
PHO		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.4	2.6	4.3	7.6	13.7	15.2	14.9	11.6	0.4	0.8	2.1	3.2	5.0	4.6	3.9	3.0	2.3	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1
MIN		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.6	2.7	5.6	10.0	12.2	13.5	13.1	0.5	0.9	2.7	4.1	6.3	6.8	5.8	5.3	3.5	2.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0
DEN			0.0			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.1	3.1	5.1	8.2	11.2	0.2	0.7	1.7	3.8	6.2	8.9	10.2	10.4	10.0	8.3	5.5	2.7	1.1	0.4	0.1
SAS				0.1	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.3	2.2	3.8	7.8	11.6	13.2	13.8	0.4	1.1	2.5	4.4	7.2	7.1	7.0	5.5	4.5	2.9	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
LAL				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.6	3.0	6.4	9.4	12.6	14.2	0.3	1.0	2.4	4.6	7.1	7.6	7.5	7.0	6.2	4.0	2.3	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0
LAC				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.2	5.3	8.1	10.2	11.5	0.2	0.8	2.5	4.6	7.5	9.4	9.8	8.8	7.0	4.9	3.2	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0
MEM						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.6	1.3	2.4	4.2	7.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	3.0	6.1	8.4	10.3	12.4	12.6	11.8	9.7	5.2	2.1	0.8	0.2	0.1
NYK							0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5	1.1	2.2	4.0	6.5	8.4	10.0	12.0	13.8	14.6	13.3	7.2	3.6	1.7	0.5	0.1
ORL							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5	1.4	2.6	4.9	6.6	8.5	11.0	11.6	13.2	14.1	12.6	6.9	3.5	1.4	0.5	0.1
DAL									0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.6	3.3	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.4	3.0	5.2	7.4	9.8	12.8	16.2	17.1	10.2	5.6	2.6	1.0	0.3
HOU												0.0	0.1	0.2			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.2	2.1	3.5	6.8	11.6	21.4	20.1	15.9	10.9	5.4
GSW												0.0	0.0	0.1					0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.6	3.5	7.1	13.8	19.2	21.3	18.9	13.3
OKC													0.0						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.5	3.3	8.3	14.4	19.8	26.6	25.1
BOS																0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.8	3.9	8.0	16.3	20.5	20.8	16.6	10.3
CLE																				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.5	4.1	8.5	15.0	24.6	45.3
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

Post-Lottery Draft Position

Post-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
WAS	13.5	13.0	12.4	11.8	31.6	11.6	4.2	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
NOP	13.1	12.6	12.1	11.6	23.5	15.9	7.2	2.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
UTA	12.3	12.0	11.6	11.2	16.7	17.1	10.6	5.0	2.1	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
PHI	12.0	11.7	11.3	11.0	14.7	17.0	11.6	5.9	2.6	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
TOR	9.4	9.4	9.3	9.3	5.9	12.5	14.7	11.6	7.3	3.9	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	2.6	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
POR	8.8	8.8	8.9	8.9	4.2	10.6	14.5	13.1	9.5	6.3	3.5	1.8	0.6	0.2	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
ATL	5.9	6.0	6.2	6.4	1.3	5.0	10.1	12.9	11.7	8.6	4.7	2.3	0.6	0.1	7.9	4.7	2.8	1.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0
CHO	4.8	4.9	5.1	5.3	0.8	3.5	7.5	10.9	11.3	9.4	5.1	2.2	0.8	0.2	11.0	7.2	5.0	2.6	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
CHI	4.4	4.5	4.7	4.9	0.6	2.9	6.9	10.3	11.4	9.6	5.5	2.3	0.8	0.3	11.8	8.3	5.1	3.0	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
IND	2.8	2.9	3.0	3.2	0.2	1.2	3.6	6.7	8.7	8.8	5.8	2.9	1.2	0.4	13.1	12.5	9.2	6.5	3.1	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
DET	2.3	2.4	2.5	2.7	0.2	0.9	2.8	5.3	7.6	8.1	5.7	3.0	1.3	0.4	13.8	13.2	11.4	7.6	4.4	2.0	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1
BRK	1.5	1.6	1.7	1.8	0.1	0.5	1.7	3.3	5.2	6.2	4.6	2.7	1.2	0.5	12.5	14.8	14.2	10.8	6.0	4.0	2.2	1.5	0.9	0.3	0.2	0.1
MIL	1.3	1.4	1.5	1.6	0.1	0.4	1.4	2.8	4.5	5.7	4.2	2.4	0.9	0.4	12.3	14.6	13.9	12.2	7.2	4.5	2.8	1.8	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
MIA	1.0	1.1	1.2	1.3	0.0	0.3	1.1	2.3	3.6	4.7	3.7	2.0	1.0	0.4	10.9	14.0	15.0	13.6	8.5	5.3	3.7	2.6	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1		0.0
SAC	1.6	1.7	1.8	2.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.7	3.5	6.6	12.4	15.1	13.9	11.3	0.4	0.9	2.1	3.8	5.4	4.5	3.6	2.8	2.0	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.1
PHO	1.5	1.6	1.8	2.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.6	3.3	6.3	12.2	14.9	15.0	11.7	0.4	0.8	2.1	3.2	5.0	4.6	3.9	3.0	2.3	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1
MIN	1.1	1.2	1.3	1.4	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.0	4.5	8.9	11.8	13.4	13.1	0.5	0.9	2.7	4.1	6.3	6.8	5.8	5.3	3.5	2.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0
DEN	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.6	4.8	7.9	11.1	0.2	0.7	1.7	3.8	6.2	8.9	10.2	10.4	10.0	8.3	5.5	2.7	1.1	0.4	0.1
SAS	0.9	1.0	1.1	1.2	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.6	3.1	6.8	11.0	13.0	13.8	0.4	1.1	2.5	4.4	7.2	7.1	7.0	5.5	4.5	2.9	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
LAL	0.7	0.8	0.9	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.5	5.6	9.0	12.3	14.2	0.3	1.0	2.4	4.6	7.1	7.6	7.5	7.0	6.2	4.0	2.3	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0
LAC	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.8	4.6	7.6	10.1	11.5	0.2	0.8	2.5	4.6	7.5	9.4	9.8	8.8	7.0	4.9	3.2	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0
MEM	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.2	4.1	6.9	0.1	0.5	1.2	3.0	6.1	8.4	10.3	12.4	12.6	11.8	9.7	5.2	2.1	0.8	0.2	0.1
NYK	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5	1.1	2.2	4.0	6.5	8.4	10.0	12.0	13.8	14.6	13.3	7.2	3.6	1.7	0.5	0.1
ORL	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5	1.4	2.6	4.9	6.6	8.5	11.0	11.6	13.2	14.1	12.6	6.9	3.5	1.4	0.5	0.1
DAL	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1					0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.5	3.2	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.4	3.0	5.2	7.4	9.8	12.8	16.2	17.1	10.2	5.6	2.6	1.0	0.3
HOU	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0	0.0	0.2			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.2	2.1	3.5	6.8	11.6	21.4	20.1	15.9	10.9	5.4
GSW	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0	0.0	0.1					0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.6	3.5	7.1	13.8	19.2	21.3	18.9	13.3
OKC	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.5	3.3	8.3	14.4	19.8	26.6	25.1
BOS																0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.8	3.9	8.0	16.3	20.5	20.8	16.6	10.3
CLE																				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.5	4.1	8.5	15.0	24.6	45.3
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

Projected Draft Order

Pre-Lottery Draft Position

Post-Lottery Draft Position

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