Projected Draft Order
Results are based on 10,000 simulations of remainder of
season, including the play-in round.
Teams are sorted by their projected draft order, given their rank within
their conference. The first table projects the draft order prior to the lottery
process, and the second table applies lottery probabilities.
During the season these likelihoods are based on the simulations we use to
project the final standings.
Pre-Lottery Draft Position
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 74.9 | 24.5 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WAS | 25.0 | 71.5 | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CHO | 0.1 | 4.0 | 88.2 | 7.6 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NOP | 0.0 | 7.6 | 86.7 | 5.5 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| PHI | 0.1 | 5.6 | 83.4 | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BRK | 0.1 | 11.0 | 87.3 | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TOR | 1.5 | 98.1 | 0.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SAS | 0.4 | 84.4 | 11.2 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| POR | 9.3 | 43.7 | 25.4 | 14.5 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| PHO | 3.4 | 24.9 | 32.0 | 22.8 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| CHI | 2.2 | 14.2 | 21.8 | 21.4 | 10.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 22.5 | 3.4 | 0.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| MIA | 0.2 | 3.1 | 7.6 | 15.5 | 17.4 | 9.2 | 0.9 | 30.4 | 13.6 | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| SAC | 0.1 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 13.0 | 23.8 | 29.3 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 4.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| ATL | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 7.3 | 14.2 | 13.4 | 4.4 | 19.5 | 29.2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ORL | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 9.1 | 11.6 | 4.6 | 17.8 | 41.5 | 11.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| DAL | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 8.7 | 27.5 | 41.8 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 11.6 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| LAC | 11.2 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 16.6 | 17.8 | 14.1 | 11.5 | 9.3 | 7.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| MEM | 9.3 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 11.9 | 17.4 | 15.5 | 14.8 | 11.9 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| GSW | 7.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 11.7 | 12.7 | 14.3 | 14.6 | 14.3 | 12.2 | 2.8 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| MIN | 4.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 11.9 | 14.7 | 17.0 | 17.6 | 15.8 | 9.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LAL | 4.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 9.8 | 14.6 | 15.8 | 16.8 | 16.5 | 12.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| DEN | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 8.3 | 12.4 | 19.1 | 34.1 | 12.8 | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| DET | 0.0 | 32.8 | 40.9 | 18.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| MIL | 25.1 | 42.1 | 23.6 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| IND | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 17.1 | 18.8 | 16.1 | 14.9 | 12.5 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NYK | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 12.7 | 55.9 | 23.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| HOU | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 22.2 | 74.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BOS | 99.9 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CLE | 0.1 | 99.3 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| OKC | 0.6 | 99.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
Post-Lottery Draft Position
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 14.0 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 12.0 | 42.8 | 5.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WAS | 14.0 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 12.0 | 32.4 | 15.2 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CHO | 13.9 | 13.3 | 12.6 | 12.0 | 14.8 | 25.7 | 7.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| NOP | 12.5 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 25.4 | 16.5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| PHI | 10.4 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 2.2 | 18.7 | 26.5 | 9.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| BRK | 9.1 | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.7 | 0.2 | 9.7 | 29.3 | 19.4 | 3.5 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TOR | 7.5 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 8.5 | 0.1 | 19.8 | 33.9 | 12.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| SAS | 5.7 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 6.9 | 0.1 | 29.2 | 32.8 | 10.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| POR | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 25.1 | 28.7 | 17.4 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| PHO | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 27.8 | 24.5 | 12.4 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||||
| CHI | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 7.9 | 18.2 | 21.2 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 22.5 | 3.4 | 0.4 | |||||||||||||||||
| MIA | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 13.6 | 17.0 | 9.8 | 1.2 | 30.4 | 13.6 | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| SAC | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 11.3 | 22.2 | 28.9 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 4.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| ATL | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 13.2 | 13.5 | 4.6 | 19.5 | 29.2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| ORL | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 11.4 | 4.8 | 17.8 | 41.5 | 11.6 | ||||||||||||||||||
| DAL | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 26.2 | 41.4 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 11.6 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| LAC | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 16.6 | 17.8 | 14.1 | 11.5 | 9.3 | 7.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||||
| MEM | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 9.0 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 11.9 | 17.4 | 15.5 | 14.8 | 11.9 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||
| GSW | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 11.7 | 12.7 | 14.3 | 14.6 | 14.3 | 12.2 | 2.8 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||
| MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 11.9 | 14.7 | 17.0 | 17.6 | 15.8 | 9.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||
| LAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 9.8 | 14.6 | 15.8 | 16.8 | 16.5 | 12.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||
| DEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 8.3 | 12.4 | 19.1 | 34.1 | 12.8 | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||
| DET | 0.0 | 32.8 | 40.9 | 18.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| MIL | 25.1 | 42.1 | 23.6 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| IND | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 17.1 | 18.8 | 16.1 | 14.9 | 12.5 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| NYK | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 12.7 | 55.9 | 23.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| HOU | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 22.2 | 74.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BOS | 99.9 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CLE | 0.1 | 99.3 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| OKC | 0.6 | 99.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
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