Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														First Round Seed									Pre Play-In
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8		1-6	7	8	9	10	Out		Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Cleveland Cavaliers	61.6	20.4	.751	-2.48	0.41	9.12	26-4	36-16	73-9	48-34	100.0%	100.0%	75.2	23.1	1.6	0.1						100.0							44.8%	23.1%
2	Boston Celtics	58.3	23.7	.711	-1.08	-0.38	8.44	22-7	36-17	70-12	44-38	100.0%	90.5%	23.6	65.4	9.2	1.7	0.2					100.0							34.6%	16.7%
3	New York Knicks	52.4	29.6	.638	-1.55	0.14	5.83	19-10	33-20	64-18	39-43	100.0%	9.5%	1.0	9.0	55.2	26.9	6.3	1.4	0.1	0.1		99.8	0.2						11.5%	4.1%
4	Orlando Magic	49.4	32.6	.603	-0.09	-0.79	3.26	19-12	30-21	62-20	37-45	99.8%	83.5%	0.2	2.2	27.1	44.8	17.5	7.2	0.6	0.3		98.9	0.9	0.2	0.1				4.7%	1.1%
5	Miami Heat	45.1	36.9	.550	-0.29	-0.51	2.48	14-13	31-24	59-23	33-49	97.3%	16.3%		0.2	3.5	12.2	31.5	38.3	8.1	3.4		85.8	9.3	3.2	1.2	0.5	0.1		2.4%	0.6%
6	Milwaukee Bucks	45.5	36.5	.554	-0.01	-0.37	1.56	16-12	29-25	59-23	31-51	97.6%			0.1	3.4	13.7	39.2	31.8	6.4	3.1		88.1	7.9	2.7	1.0	0.3	0.1		1.7%	0.4%
7	Indiana Pacers	38.5	43.5	.470	-1.08	0.22	-2.21	15-15	24-28	51-31	26-56	56.0%					0.3	2.3	8.1	24.8	20.4		10.8	28.0	21.3	16.9	11.4	11.6		0.2%
8	Atlanta Hawks	37.3	44.7	.454	-0.32	0.14	-2.95	15-15	22-30	52-30	25-57	42.1%	0.3%				0.1	1.4	5.1	17.3	18.2		6.7	16.9	19.9	19.2	16.9	20.5

9	Chicago Bulls	37.1	44.9	.452	1.27	-1.02	-2.70	13-17	24-28	51-31	25-57	42.6%					0.1	1.0	4.4	18.6	18.5		5.5	17.6	20.9	18.9	16.2	20.9
10	Detroit Pistons	36.3	45.7	.442	0.19	0.05	-2.54	13-17	23-29	51-31	24-58	35.6%					0.1	0.6	2.6	14.7	17.6		3.3	12.3	17.7	19.3	19.6	27.7
11	Brooklyn Nets	33.7	48.3	.411	1.54	-0.42	-3.78	11-18	23-30	47-35	21-61	14.4%						0.1	0.7	4.9	8.7		0.8	3.5	7.3	11.4	15.8	61.3
12	Philadelphia 76ers	33.1	48.9	.404	0.58	-0.18	-3.91	10-17	23-32	47-35	19-63	12.7%						0.1	0.4	4.1	8.1		0.5	3.2	6.1	10.1	15.0	65.2
13	Toronto Raptors	29.2	52.8	.356	1.40	-0.67	-3.87	7-23	22-30	44-38	17-65	1.7%								0.3	1.4			0.3	0.7	1.5	3.5	94.1
14	Charlotte Hornets	27.0	55.0	.329	0.81	-0.37	-5.78	7-22	20-33	41-41	15-67	0.3%								0.1	0.2			0.1	0.1	0.5	0.9	98.5
15	Washington Wizards	19.1	62.9	.233	3.42	-1.02	-11.39	4-23	15-40	32-50	7-75																	100.0

Table
														First Round Seed									Pre Play-In
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8		1-6	7	8	9	10	Out		Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Oklahoma City Thunder	62.5	19.5	.762	-0.60	-0.03	11.33	23-5	39-15	73-9	50-32	100.0%	99.9%	93.6	5.5	0.7	0.2						100.0							51.9%	34.3%
2	Houston Rockets	53.9	28.1	.658	0.05	0.39	6.67	20-9	34-19	65-17	41-41	99.9%	41.6%	2.5	37.8	27.8	18.1	8.9	3.4	0.9	0.4		98.5	1.2	0.2					12.5%	5.2%
3	Memphis Grizzlies	53.8	28.2	.656	-1.94	0.76	7.76	20-10	34-18	65-17	37-45	99.8%	35.5%	2.5	32.1	28.7	21.6	9.6	3.9	0.9	0.5		98.4	1.3	0.2					18.1%	8.6%
4	Dallas Mavericks	52.5	29.5	.640	-0.52	0.28	6.28	19-10	33-20	65-17	39-43	99.5%	22.9%	1.3	20.4	26.3	26.4	15.4	7.0	1.9	0.9		96.7	2.6	0.5	0.2				10.0%	3.9%
5	Denver Nuggets	48.5	33.5	.591	0.17	-0.35	3.61	16-11	32-23	61-21	36-46	95.5%	0.2%	0.1	2.3	8.0	15.2	26.3	24.9	12.4	6.3		76.7	14.9	6.2	1.6	0.4	0.1		2.8%	0.8%
6	Los Angeles Clippers	46.9	35.1	.572	1.00	-0.32	2.97	17-13	30-22	59-23	34-48	90.7%	57.8%		1.1	5.1	10.1	20.3	26.2	17.7	10.2		62.8	21.1	11.0	3.5	1.1	0.5		2.1%	0.6%
7	Golden State Warriors	46.3	35.7	.564	1.06	-0.29	3.06	15-13	31-23	60-22	34-48	86.9%	39.6%		0.8	3.3	7.8	15.4	22.4	23.3	14.0		49.7	28.4	13.6	5.2	2.1	1.1		1.9%	0.4%
8	Minnesota Timberwolves	42.6	39.4	.519	-0.52	0.31	1.51	14-14	29-25	55-27	29-53	63.3%				0.2	0.7	3.2	9.4	25.6	24.3		13.4	20.1	33.8	17.3	8.9	6.6		0.6%	0.2%

9	Los Angeles Lakers	38.6	43.4	.471	-0.34	0.43	-3.00	16-13	23-30	51-31	25-57	19.6%	1.2%					0.4	1.1	5.9	12.1		1.6	3.8	12.2	23.5	23.5	35.5
10	Phoenix Suns	37.6	44.4	.459	-0.48	0.59	-2.23	14-14	24-30	51-31	24-58	15.1%	0.8%					0.2	0.7	3.7	10.4		0.9	2.6	7.8	17.5	20.8	50.4
11	Sacramento Kings	37.6	44.4	.458	-1.66	0.67	-0.43	13-17	25-27	53-29	26-56	15.9%	0.5%					0.2	0.5	3.9	11.3		0.7	1.9	7.1	15.8	22.3	52.4
12	San Antonio Spurs	37.5	44.5	.458	-1.22	0.83	-2.29	15-14	23-30	49-33	25-57	13.9%						0.1	0.5	3.6	9.7		0.6	2.2	7.3	15.5	20.8	53.5
13	Portland Trail Blazers	25.1	56.9	.306	0.76	0.16	-8.93	9-20	16-37	38-44	15-67																	100.0
14	Utah Jazz	24.6	57.4	.299	1.14	0.18	-8.04	7-21	18-36	39-43	13-69																	100.0
15	New Orleans Pelicans	18.7	63.3	.228	1.18	0.53	-10.29	5-25	14-38	36-46	9-73																	100.0