Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  First Round Seed  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Cleveland Cavaliers64.018.0.780-0.738.8164-18100.0%100.0%100.097.7%85.1%51.2%18.2%
2Boston Celtics61.021.0.744-0.838.2861-21100.0%100.0%100.098.1%79.8%40.8%13.5%
3New York Knicks51.031.0.622-0.513.5951-31100.0%100.057.8%13.1%3.5%0.5%
4Indiana Pacers50.032.0.610-0.551.6850-32100.0%100.078.6%10.6%2.3%0.1%
5Milwaukee Bucks48.034.0.585-0.362.1248-34100.0%100.021.5%3.4%0.9%0.1%
6Detroit Pistons44.038.0.537-0.171.7344-38100.0%100.042.2%6.6%1.3%0.2%
7Orlando Magic41.041.0.500-0.58-0.7041-41100.0%100.0%100.01.9%0.5%0.1%
8Miami Heat37.045.0.451-0.450.1137-45100.0%100.02.3%0.9%0.1%
9Chicago Bulls39.043.0.476-0.27-1.8339-43
10Atlanta Hawks40.042.0.488-0.28-1.4140-42
11Toronto Raptors30.052.0.366-0.11-4.4030-52
12Brooklyn Nets26.056.0.3170.16-6.9526-56
13Philadelphia 76ers24.058.0.293-0.06-6.2924-58
14Charlotte Hornets19.063.0.2320.01-9.1019-63
15Washington Wizards18.064.0.2200.30-12.1418-64

Table
  First Round Seed  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Oklahoma City Thunder68.014.0.829-0.1612.7068-14100.0%100.0%100.097.1%88.1%79.5%61.6%
2Houston Rockets52.030.0.6340.454.9752-30100.0%100.0%100.056.8%31.5%5.0%1.5%
3Los Angeles Lakers50.032.0.6100.231.4550-32100.0%100.0%100.029.5%9.3%0.8%0.1%
4Denver Nuggets50.032.0.6100.083.9750-32100.0%100.043.4%3.7%1.9%0.5%
5Los Angeles Clippers50.032.0.6100.184.8450-32100.0%100.056.6%6.6%3.3%0.9%
6Minnesota Timberwolves49.033.0.5980.155.1549-33100.0%100.070.5%37.8%6.3%1.9%
7Golden State Warriors48.034.0.5850.253.5648-34100.0%100.043.2%21.3%2.3%0.6%
8Memphis Grizzlies48.034.0.585-0.064.7948-34100.0%100.02.9%1.6%0.9%0.3%
9Sacramento Kings40.042.0.4880.110.5840-42
10Dallas Mavericks39.043.0.4760.46-0.7439-43
11Phoenix Suns36.046.0.4390.45-2.5536-46
12Portland Trail Blazers36.046.0.4390.31-2.6736-46
13San Antonio Spurs34.048.0.4150.31-2.4534-48
14New Orleans Pelicans21.061.0.2560.84-8.5921-61
15Utah Jazz17.065.0.2070.83-8.5117-65