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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														First Round Seed									Pre Play-In
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8		1-6	7	8	9	10	Out		Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Cleveland Cavaliers	65.1	16.9	.794	-0.87	0.71	9.14	60-15	5-2	67-15	60-22	100.0%	100.0%	97.3	2.7								100.0							51.2%	18.9%
2	Boston Celtics	61.7	20.3	.752	-0.52	-4.11	8.67	56-19	6-1	63-19	58-24	100.0%	100.0%	2.7	97.3								100.0							40.4%	13.5%
3	New York Knicks	51.4	30.6	.627	-0.72	1.59	3.60	47-27	4-4	55-27	47-35	100.0%				98.7	1.3						100.0							3.8%	0.4%
4	Indiana Pacers	48.0	34.0	.586	-0.50	-1.02	1.29	44-31	4-3	51-31	44-38	100.0%				1.3	91.2	6.9	0.6				100.0							1.2%	0.1%
5	Milwaukee Bucks	44.8	37.2	.546	-0.18	-1.94	1.51	40-34	5-3	48-34	41-41	99.6%					4.6	43.5	50.2	1.0	0.3		98.3	1.7						1.4%	0.1%
6	Detroit Pistons	45.4	36.6	.554	-0.48	2.96	1.92	42-33	3-4	49-33	42-40	100.0%					2.9	49.5	47.1	0.3	0.2		99.5	0.5						1.5%	0.2%
7	Atlanta Hawks	40.3	41.7	.491	-0.02	-2.80	-1.61	36-38	4-4	44-38	36-46	70.7%	66.9%					0.1	2.0	43.2	25.3		2.2	64.6	23.7	8.5	1.1			0.1%
8	Orlando Magic	38.9	43.1	.475	-0.49	-1.28	-1.31	36-40	3-3	42-40	36-46	62.6%	27.2%							37.5	25.1			26.9	46.7	19.2	7.1			0.1%

9	Miami Heat	37.8	44.2	.462	-0.28	-1.94	-0.54	34-41	4-3	41-41	34-48	40.6%	6.0%							12.0	28.6			5.9	17.0	42.3	34.8			0.2%
10	Chicago Bulls	36.8	45.2	.449	0.09	-3.56	-2.60	33-42	4-3	40-42	33-49	26.6%								6.1	20.5			0.4	12.7	30.0	57.0
11	Toronto Raptors	31.2	50.8	.381	0.15	-2.97	-4.17	28-47	3-4	35-47	28-54																	100.0
12	Brooklyn Nets	27.2	54.8	.331	0.16	-0.02	-6.47	25-51	2-4	31-51	25-57																	100.0
13	Philadelphia 76ers	25.6	56.4	.312	0.00	-0.95	-6.03	23-52	3-4	30-52	23-59																	100.0
14	Charlotte Hornets	20.6	61.4	.251	-0.26	2.40	-8.25	19-56	2-5	25-57	19-63																	100.0
15	Washington Wizards	17.3	64.7	.212	0.32	-0.05	-12.01	16-59	1-6	22-60	16-66																	100.0

Table
														First Round Seed									Pre Play-In
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8		1-6	7	8	9	10	Out		Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Oklahoma City Thunder	68.8	13.2	.839	-0.05	-1.31	13.31	63-12	6-1	70-12	64-18	100.0%	100.0%	100.0									100.0							79.6%	60.9%
2	Houston Rockets	52.4	29.6	.639	0.27	2.87	5.16	49-27	3-3	55-27	49-33	100.0%	99.8%		84.6	13.3	2.0						100.0							5.6%	1.8%
3	Denver Nuggets	50.9	31.1	.621	-0.12	2.41	4.08	47-28	4-3	54-28	47-35	99.8%			12.3	59.5	19.3	5.7	2.1	0.6	0.3		98.9	0.9	0.2					2.8%	0.7%
4	Los Angeles Lakers	49.1	32.9	.598	-0.04	3.41	0.78	46-29	3-4	53-29	46-36	98.4%	81.5%		2.8	18.8	44.5	19.0	9.0	2.6	1.8		94.0	4.7	1.3					0.3%
5	Memphis Grizzlies	48.2	33.8	.588	-0.09	0.75	4.77	44-31	4-3	51-31	44-38	94.1%	0.2%		0.1	3.8	15.4	24.8	22.2	17.8	9.9		66.3	18.8	14.9					4.0%	1.2%
6	Golden State Warriors	47.3	34.7	.577	0.17	1.41	2.93	43-31	4-4	51-31	43-39	87.7%	9.0%		0.1	2.1	5.9	15.8	18.2	26.8	18.9		42.0	22.8	35.2					1.3%	0.2%
7	Los Angeles Clippers	47.4	34.6	.578	0.28	-0.25	4.07	43-32	4-3	50-32	43-39	89.2%	9.5%			1.4	6.7	16.5	20.3	27.6	16.8		44.9	29.3	25.9					2.4%	0.6%
8	Minnesota Timberwolves	47.7	34.3	.581	0.40	-2.36	4.97	43-32	5-2	50-32	43-39	92.4%				1.3	6.2	18.3	28.1	24.6	13.9		53.9	23.5	22.6					4.0%	1.3%

9	Sacramento Kings	39.6	42.4	.483	0.18	-0.44	0.21	36-39	4-3	43-39	36-46	18.4%									18.4					55.7	37.6	6.7		0.1%
10	Dallas Mavericks	39.8	42.2	.486	0.37	1.32	0.13	37-39	3-3	43-39	37-45	17.2%									17.2					41.6	47.6	10.8		0.1%
11	Phoenix Suns	37.4	44.6	.456	0.09	3.97	-2.03	35-40	2-5	42-40	35-47	2.7%									2.7					2.7	14.5	82.9
12	Portland Trail Blazers	35.2	46.8	.430	0.60	-2.15	-3.09	32-43	3-4	39-43	32-50																0.2	99.8
13	San Antonio Spurs	34.1	47.9	.416	0.22	1.20	-2.43	31-43	3-5	39-43	31-51																0.1	99.9
14	New Orleans Pelicans	22.7	59.3	.277	0.71	2.02	-7.86	21-54	2-5	27-55	21-61																	100.0
15	Utah Jazz	17.3	64.7	.210	0.60	3.34	-7.94	16-60	1-5	22-60	16-66																	100.0