Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Cleveland Cavaliers52.030.0.6350.54-1.315.6527-1825-1262-2042-4099.9%78.5%50.426.212.16.12.71.50.60.20.70.20.137.1%15.9%
2Miami Heat51.330.7.626-0.42-0.253.9928-1623-1561-2140-4299.6%97.4%33.235.515.98.33.61.90.80.40.90.50.221.5%6.7%
3Chicago Bulls48.333.7.589-0.550.251.5227-1521-1961-2135-4795.8%14.7%6.814.122.918.514.310.85.13.36.43.61.80.67.4%1.6%
4Brooklyn Nets47.434.6.577-0.820.621.6027-1620-1958-2437-4592.5%56.6%4.79.817.818.916.112.07.85.39.45.83.61.46.8%1.5%
5Milwaukee Bucks46.735.3.570-1.060.922.5727-1920-1657-2536-4690.3%6.8%2.76.613.517.817.114.810.27.610.98.05.22.49.7%2.4%
6Philadelphia 76ers45.736.3.557-0.450.271.1025-1821-1857-2534-4883.0%24.2%1.54.58.512.816.016.812.710.214.610.77.74.54.9%1.0%
7Boston Celtics44.137.9.5380.24-0.732.1323-2221-1654-2832-5072.4%10.4%0.51.63.57.311.614.518.015.517.116.313.38.86.0%1.5%
8Toronto Raptors43.538.5.5300.63-0.521.5621-2022-1954-2832-5063.6%8.3%0.20.83.15.48.611.817.216.415.317.817.211.64.4%0.9%
9Charlotte Hornets43.039.0.525-0.020.05-0.3624-2019-1955-2732-5055.3%2.1%0.10.72.23.87.210.115.216.114.418.519.613.81.5%0.3%
10Washington Wizards40.741.3.4960.00-0.09-1.5023-2118-2052-3029-5327.7%0.4%0.10.20.92.14.07.612.86.910.917.026.00.4%
11New York Knicks39.442.6.480-0.640.74-0.9222-2217-2151-3129-5315.4%0.6%0.10.30.71.53.98.92.86.310.821.30.4%0.1%
12Atlanta Hawks36.545.5.4450.10-0.01-1.2318-2518-2147-3526-563.9%0.10.30.82.70.71.43.17.50.1%
13Indiana Pacers34.247.8.4180.61-0.76-0.3915-2919-1946-3622-600.8%0.10.70.20.52.1
14Orlando Magic18.763.3.2280.210.30-8.778-3711-2630-529-73
15Detroit Pistons20.161.9.2450.250.59-9.6110-3210-3032-5010-72

Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Phoenix Suns60.721.3.740-0.50-0.317.4134-927-1270-1249-33100.0%66.5%64.528.85.31.329.5%21.0%
2Golden State Warriors58.523.5.7130.21-0.388.1431-1227-1268-1447-35100.0%33.5%31.750.113.64.50.135.3%25.9%
3Utah Jazz54.227.8.661-0.590.076.9829-1525-1363-1943-39100.0%99.4%2.512.946.935.42.20.221.7%15.0%
4Memphis Grizzlies53.128.9.6470.20-0.684.0931-1522-1464-1842-40100.0%93.2%1.38.133.150.56.40.58.5%4.5%
5Dallas Mavericks46.535.5.567-0.270.092.4525-1921-1757-2534-4898.3%6.8%0.11.07.161.421.35.02.46.81.90.40.12.2%0.9%
6Denver Nuggets44.038.0.5360.37-0.391.4022-2022-1855-2733-4992.7%0.5%0.11.120.744.517.29.022.67.82.30.61.3%0.5%
7Minnesota Timberwolves41.740.3.5090.15-0.011.1921-2221-1852-3031-5180.7%0.17.322.631.918.735.821.39.12.81.1%0.3%
8Los Angeles Clippers39.242.8.4780.250.17-0.8422-2317-2050-3229-5356.2%1.27.723.923.520.731.522.410.20.3%0.1%
9Los Angeles Lakers38.044.0.464-0.560.81-1.9522-2216-2249-3327-5537.5%0.62.814.120.110.023.331.817.60.1%
10Portland Trail Blazers35.146.9.4281.00-0.76-2.8618-2517-2246-3624-5813.9%0.43.69.92.36.414.225.0
11San Antonio Spurs34.347.7.4190.020.09-0.7116-2818-2047-3522-6014.3%0.23.310.91.35.713.024.60.1%
12Sacramento Kings32.149.9.3910.290.14-3.7118-2814-2242-4021-613.9%0.63.40.21.34.111.6
13New Orleans Pelicans31.550.5.3840.64-0.11-3.9016-2815-2343-3921-612.5%0.42.00.20.92.67.3
14Oklahoma City Thunder26.755.3.3250.230.36-6.5614-2913-2637-4516-660.1%0.10.10.3
15Houston Rockets23.158.9.281-0.150.97-8.5213-3210-2733-4915-67