Playoff Probabilities Report
Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of
season, including the play-in round.
See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to
project the draft order and lottery winners.
Projected Standings
First Round Seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rk | Eastern Conference | W | L | W/L% | SOS | SRS | Current | Playoffs | Division | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Win 1st Rd | Win Semi | Win Conf | Win Finals |
1 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 64.0 | 18.0 | .780 | -0.73 | 8.81 | 64-18 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 97.7% | 85.1% | 51.2% | 18.2% | |||||||
2 | Boston Celtics | 61.0 | 21.0 | .744 | -0.83 | 8.28 | 61-21 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 98.1% | 79.8% | 40.8% | 13.5% | |||||||
3 | New York Knicks | 51.0 | 31.0 | .622 | -0.51 | 3.59 | 51-31 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 57.8% | 13.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% | ||||||||
4 | Indiana Pacers | 50.0 | 32.0 | .610 | -0.55 | 1.68 | 50-32 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 78.6% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% | ||||||||
5 | Milwaukee Bucks | 48.0 | 34.0 | .585 | -0.36 | 2.12 | 48-34 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 21.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | ||||||||
6 | Detroit Pistons | 44.0 | 38.0 | .537 | -0.17 | 1.73 | 44-38 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 42.2% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | ||||||||
7 | Orlando Magic | 41.0 | 41.0 | .500 | -0.58 | -0.70 | 41-41 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | ||||||||
8 | Miami Heat | 37.0 | 45.0 | .451 | -0.45 | 0.11 | 37-45 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | |||||||||
9 | Chicago Bulls | 39.0 | 43.0 | .476 | -0.27 | -1.83 | 39-43 | ||||||||||||||
10 | Atlanta Hawks | 40.0 | 42.0 | .488 | -0.28 | -1.41 | 40-42 | ||||||||||||||
11 | Toronto Raptors | 30.0 | 52.0 | .366 | -0.11 | -4.40 | 30-52 | ||||||||||||||
12 | Brooklyn Nets | 26.0 | 56.0 | .317 | 0.16 | -6.95 | 26-56 | ||||||||||||||
13 | Philadelphia 76ers | 24.0 | 58.0 | .293 | -0.06 | -6.29 | 24-58 | ||||||||||||||
14 | Charlotte Hornets | 19.0 | 63.0 | .232 | 0.01 | -9.10 | 19-63 | ||||||||||||||
15 | Washington Wizards | 18.0 | 64.0 | .220 | 0.30 | -12.14 | 18-64 |
First Round Seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rk | Western Conference | W | L | W/L% | SOS | SRS | Current | Playoffs | Division | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Win 1st Rd | Win Semi | Win Conf | Win Finals |
1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 68.0 | 14.0 | .829 | -0.16 | 12.70 | 68-14 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 97.1% | 88.1% | 79.5% | 61.6% | |||||||
2 | Houston Rockets | 52.0 | 30.0 | .634 | 0.45 | 4.97 | 52-30 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 56.8% | 31.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% | |||||||
3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 50.0 | 32.0 | .610 | 0.23 | 1.45 | 50-32 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 29.5% | 9.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | |||||||
4 | Denver Nuggets | 50.0 | 32.0 | .610 | 0.08 | 3.97 | 50-32 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 43.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | ||||||||
5 | Los Angeles Clippers | 50.0 | 32.0 | .610 | 0.18 | 4.84 | 50-32 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 56.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | ||||||||
6 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 49.0 | 33.0 | .598 | 0.15 | 5.15 | 49-33 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 70.5% | 37.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% | ||||||||
7 | Golden State Warriors | 48.0 | 34.0 | .585 | 0.25 | 3.56 | 48-34 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 43.2% | 21.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | ||||||||
8 | Memphis Grizzlies | 48.0 | 34.0 | .585 | -0.06 | 4.79 | 48-34 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | ||||||||
9 | Sacramento Kings | 40.0 | 42.0 | .488 | 0.11 | 0.58 | 40-42 | ||||||||||||||
10 | Dallas Mavericks | 39.0 | 43.0 | .476 | 0.46 | -0.74 | 39-43 | ||||||||||||||
11 | Phoenix Suns | 36.0 | 46.0 | .439 | 0.45 | -2.55 | 36-46 | ||||||||||||||
12 | Portland Trail Blazers | 36.0 | 46.0 | .439 | 0.31 | -2.67 | 36-46 | ||||||||||||||
13 | San Antonio Spurs | 34.0 | 48.0 | .415 | 0.31 | -2.45 | 34-48 | ||||||||||||||
14 | New Orleans Pelicans | 21.0 | 61.0 | .256 | 0.84 | -8.59 | 21-61 | ||||||||||||||
15 | Utah Jazz | 17.0 | 65.0 | .207 | 0.83 | -8.51 | 17-65 |
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