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Archive for the 'BBR Rankings' Category

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (December 31, 2010)

31st December 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on December 30, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 4 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (December 24, 2010)

24th December 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on December 23, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 11 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (December 17, 2010)

17th December 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on December 16, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 7 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (December 10, 2010)

10th December 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on December 9, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 13 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (December 3, 2010)

3rd December 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on December 2, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 18 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (November 26, 2010)

26th November 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on November 25, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 52 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (November 19, 2010)

19th November 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on November 18, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 21 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (November 12, 2010)

12th November 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on November 11, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 5 Comments »

BBR Rankings: 2011 Offense and Defense Ratings, Adjusted for Schedule (Week 2 Edition)

5th November 2010

Not sure if I want to make this the new BBR Rankings method or return to maximum likelihood, but these are your team schedule-adjusted offensive & defensive ratings so far in 2011 (negative = good for defenses):

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Posted in Analysis, BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 13 Comments »

2010-11 Projected NBA Standings

25th October 2010

It's that time of year again... Time to plug a ton of projected numbers into a computer, simulate the NBA schedule thousands of times, and see what kind of predictions it spits out. This year I ran three sets of 2,500 simulated seasons -- one based on statistical plus/minus (the raw version of which I posted here, but also adjusted for team using past franchise & coaching histories), one based on Win Shares (using the Simple Projection System method), and one based on a heavily regressed-to-the-mean version of last year's Simple Ratings (not so much for prediction purposes, but as an experiment to see how well the "dumbest" possible projections fare vs. complex methods). To see the individual minutes and ratings that went into these projections, click here.

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Posted in Analysis, BBR Rankings, Projections, Season Preview, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | 33 Comments »