29th April 2011
Chicago Bulls
62-20, 1st in NBA Central Division (Schedule and Results)
Coach: Tom Thibodeau (62-20)
PTS/G: 98.6 (20th of 30) ▪ Opp PTS/G: 91.3 (2nd of 30)
SRS: 6.53 (2nd of 30) ▪ Pace: 90.4 (23rd of 30)
Off Rtg: 108.3 (11th of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 100.3 (1st of 30)
Expected W-L: 61-21 (1st of 30)
Arena: United Center ▪ Attendance: 893,462 (1st of 30)
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Posted in Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | 8 Comments »
18th April 2011
It was a banner weekend for underdogs, as the away teams kicked off the 2011 Playoffs with 3 wins, including victories by the Western Conference #8 and #7 seeds. How do the road teams' performances in this set of opening-round game 1s compare to other years since the playoffs expanded in 1984?
Let's take a look (all numbers from the perspective of the average road team in Game 1 of the 1st round):
Year |
roadW |
roadL |
WPct |
Margin |
expected Mgn |
Diff |
2011 |
3 |
5 |
0.375 |
-0.63 |
-7.37 |
6.75 |
2010 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-7.88 |
-4.88 |
-2.99 |
2009 |
4 |
4 |
0.500 |
-5.88 |
-7.46 |
1.58 |
2008 |
2 |
6 |
0.250 |
-7.13 |
-6.25 |
-0.88 |
2007 |
3 |
5 |
0.375 |
-2.75 |
-7.71 |
4.96 |
2006 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-10.38 |
-6.14 |
-4.24 |
2005 |
2 |
6 |
0.250 |
-8.25 |
-6.23 |
-2.02 |
2004 |
0 |
8 |
0.000 |
-14.75 |
-7.02 |
-7.73 |
2003 |
4 |
4 |
0.500 |
-1.13 |
-6.95 |
5.82 |
2002 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-8.25 |
-5.92 |
-2.33 |
2001 |
3 |
5 |
0.375 |
-1.25 |
-5.03 |
3.78 |
2000 |
2 |
6 |
0.250 |
-3.63 |
-6.29 |
2.67 |
1999 |
2 |
6 |
0.250 |
-7.75 |
-6.41 |
-1.34 |
1998 |
2 |
6 |
0.250 |
-8.13 |
-6.67 |
-1.45 |
1997 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-15.13 |
-7.42 |
-7.70 |
1996 |
3 |
5 |
0.375 |
-5.00 |
-7.94 |
2.94 |
1995 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-17.63 |
-6.90 |
-10.73 |
1994 |
2 |
6 |
0.250 |
-8.88 |
-6.41 |
-2.46 |
1993 |
2 |
6 |
0.250 |
-10.75 |
-8.19 |
-2.56 |
1992 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-12.50 |
-9.63 |
-2.87 |
1991 |
3 |
5 |
0.375 |
-1.75 |
-9.25 |
7.50 |
1990 |
0 |
8 |
0.000 |
-11.75 |
-8.46 |
-3.29 |
1989 |
2 |
6 |
0.250 |
-4.75 |
-9.61 |
4.86 |
1988 |
0 |
8 |
0.000 |
-10.00 |
-9.86 |
-0.14 |
1987 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-12.00 |
-10.24 |
-1.76 |
1986 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-16.25 |
-9.91 |
-6.34 |
1985 |
1 |
7 |
0.125 |
-11.38 |
-7.78 |
-3.60 |
1984 |
3 |
5 |
0.375 |
-2.00 |
-7.87 |
5.87 |
(Click column headers to sort by each category.)
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Posted in Analysis, History, Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Trivia | 3 Comments »
15th April 2011
Chicago Bulls
62-20, 1st in NBA Central Division (Schedule and Results)
Coach: Tom Thibodeau (62-20)
SRS: 6.53 (2nd of 30) ▪ Pace: 90.4 (23rd of 30)
Off Rtg: 108.3 (11th of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 100.3 (1st of 30)
Expected W-L: 61-21 (1st of 30)
Arena: United Center ▪ Attendance: 893,462 (1st of 30)
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Posted in Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | Comments Off on Playoff Preview: #1 Chicago vs. #8 Indiana